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Lululemon adjusts outlook as growth slows in key markets

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Vancouver-based athletic apparel retailer Lululemon Athletica has encountered unexpected headwinds in its latest fiscal quarter, prompting a revision of its annual outlook. The company reported its first revenue miss in over two years.

Calvin McDonald

The performance in the Americas saw comparable sales declining by 3%, which is in stark contrast to the company’s international markets where sales increased by 29%. Lululemon’s CEO, Calvin McDonald, acknowledged the issues in the U.S. market, stating, “Our teams continue to optimize our product assortment and remain focused on driving forward our opportunities in the market.”

Lululemon’s highly anticipated Breezethrough leggings, introduced in early July, faced a wave of customer complaints regarding fit issues, forcing the company to pull the product from shelves. In an earnings call, the company said that the pause on sales had a negligible impact on revenue and gross margin guidance for the year.

Looking down the grand staircase at the front entrance to the new Lululemon store at Yonge and Bloor in Toronto. Photo: Craig Patterson

In response to financials, Lululemon has adjusted its full-year guidance. The company now projects net revenue to fall between $10.38 billion and $10.48 billion, a reduction from its previous forecast of $10.7 billion to $10.8 billion. Similarly, earnings per share expectations have been tempered, with the new range set at $13.95 to $14.15, down from the earlier projection of $14.27 to $14.47.

There was also good news in the report. Lululemon reported earnings per share of $3.15, surpassing analysts’ expectations of $2.93. However, revenue of $2.37 billion fell short of the anticipated $2.41 billion, according to a survey conducted by LSEG (formerly known as Refinitiv).

Looking ahead to the third quarter, Lululemon says it expects sales growth to remain subdued at 6% to 7%, falling short of analysts’ projections of 9.2% growth. However, the company’s profit guidance for the upcoming quarter aligns closely with Wall Street expectations, suggesting that Lululemon is placing a renewed focus on operational efficiency and cost management.

Lululemon says it remains optimistic about its long-term prospects. The company continues to view international expansion, particularly in China, as a key driver of future growth. Additionally, Lululemon’s ability to maintain strong gross margins, which improved to 59.6% in the second quarter, demonstrates the brand’s enduring appeal and pricing power.

Lisa Hutcheson

Lisa Hutcheson, Managing Partner of Toronto-based consultancy J.C. Williams Group, said, “Lululemon has historically demonstrated strong performance, particularly during the pandemic when the demand for comfortable, work-from-home-friendly apparel surged and the overall apparel sector suffered – and is still struggling.” 

“Moreover, despite Lululemon’s previous immunity to these industry-wide challenges, the landscape is shifting. The market is now more competitive with new entrants like Alo Yoga and Athleta intensifying the competition,” she went on to say. 

“As consumer preferences evolve, Lululemon may face challenges in maintaining its current growth momentum if it does not adapt swiftly to these changes.”

George Minakakis, Founder and CEO of Inception Retail Group, said, “Lululemon is facing the same challenges many other retailers face: uncertainty on consumers’ confidence as many retailers are. However, I am surprised that they have had a negative product rollout because that happened about a decade ago, and there was a great deal of consumer backlash.” 

George Minakakis

“So, I wonder if they have lapsed somewhere in their quality control and design,” Minakakis said.  

“Their focus on China is admirable, given the growth they are experiencing, but China is rebounding from an economic slowdown. I would hate to say this, but Lululemon needs to keep its eye on the Chinese market. Local competitors can scale and sell similar lines for a lot less. Starbucks is a good example of that.” 

Minakakis also noted the impact of interest rates on retail operations. 

“International brands like Lululemon must be cognizant of economic uncertainties. Interest rates may be coming down, but the positive effects could take months to filter through,” he said. 

Bruce Winder

Bruce Winder, retail analyst and author, said, “A disappointing quarter for the Canadian company as a slowing Americas market towed down strong international performance. Many will wonder if Lululemon has fallen to earth and lost its super power over other apparel companies. Maybe. Maybe not. Time will tell.” 

“The company needs to rejuvenate its new product development pipeline in a much more competitive environment. The recent loss of Sun Choe can’t be easy,” Winder went on to say. 

“The company also risks pricing itself out of a stingy consumer market where dupe alternatives have gained acceptance. Anecdotally, I have heard about quality and customer service issues from our daughter who used to swear by the brand and has now switched to another.” 

“Great brand! Great margins! Needs to get its mojo back asap.”

1 COMMENT

  1. During this year when positive news about Canadian apparel retailing has been hard to find it was a surprise that the
    article did not note that Lululemons Canadian sales increased 8.3% during its second quarter

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