Canadian Retail Sales Show Shifts in Consumer Behaviour

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By J.C. Williams Group

Canadian retail sales in May paint an intriguing picture of consumer behaviour and economic trends, with All Stores rising 4.4% YOY, and All Stores Less Automotive, Food, and Pharmacies, growth was an even more robust 7.1% YOY. This performance comes against the backdrop of significant shifts in the retail landscape, including the closure of the last Hudsonโ€™s Bay stores on June 1, which may have drawn nostalgic shoppers and increased traffic in surrounding areas. Meanwhile, the ongoing conversation on tariff tensions continues to loom over consumer sentiment.

Supermarkets and other Grocery Stores saw a healthy 6.9% YOY increase, with Loblawโ€™s reporting particularly strong Q2 results, including a 5.4% rise in revenue and 3.5% same-store sales growth. This performance is notable given that May 1, 2024, marked the start of a Loblawโ€™s boycott. Ironically, the boycott may have inadvertently boosted YOY comparisons, as consumers returned to normal shopping patterns this year. Itโ€™s also possible that inflationary pressures and higher food prices contributed to the revenue growth, though this isnโ€™t necessarily a sign of increased consumer purchasing power.

Conversely, Convenience Stores continue to struggle, with sales down -7.7% YOY and -5.6% YTD. Changing consumer behaviour is at the heart of this decline. Reports suggest that sales of traditional convenience store staples like tobacco and lottery tickets are falling, which, while positive from a public health perspective, presents challenges for the businesses reliant on these categories. Additionally, inflation has made convenience store pricing less attractive compared to larger retailers. As consumers tighten their belts, they appear to be prioritizing value over convenience.

The standout performer in May was the Jewellery, Luggage, and Leather Goods category, which soared 20.4% YOY. While this growth is eye-catching, itโ€™s likely inflated by the addition of new retailers or operators to the category, rather than a genuine surge in consumer spending. Given the economic uncertainty and the post-pandemic travel boom that already occurred, itโ€™s hard to imagine consumers suddenly splurging on these discretionary items.

In fact, current travel trends may be dampening demand for luggage. With ongoing travel boycotts to the U.S. and rising costs of international travel, many Canadians are opting for domestic vacations or canceling trips altogether. This would naturally limit the need for new luggage. The growth in this category, therefore, raises questions on whether it reflects structural changes in the retail landscape rather than true consumer behaviour.

As we proceed into the final month of summer, several questions come to mind for the retail sector and for JCWG:

  • What impact will vacant Hudsonโ€™s Bay spaces have on foot traffic in shopping centres?
  • What innovative experiences can shoppers expect from the new Ruby Liu stores?
  • Will the trend of summer staycations continue to drive growth in Canadian retail?
  • How are YOU adapting to the challenges of major anchor tenant vacancies in shopping centres?

Retail Sales by Product Category, Same Month Comparison

Sales for the Month of MayMay-25May-24YOY
All Stores76,479,46473,246,3194.41%
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers22,027,39321,105,1264.37%
Gasoline Stations6,322,5787,022,737-9.97%
All Stores Less Automotive48,129,49345,118,4566.67%
Food and Beverage Stores14,041,42413,420,9654.62%
Supermarkets and Other Grocery Stores*10,089,0759,448,3566.78%
Convenience Stores722,890783,489-7.73%
Specialty Food Stores988,608929,3336.38%
Beer, Wine and Liquor Stores2,240,8522,259,787-0.84%
Health and Personal Care Stores6,210,3075,658,3939.75%
All Stores Less Automotive, Food, and Pharmacies27,877,76226,039,0987.06%
General Merchandise Stores10,386,3349,846,6845.48%
Furniture, Home Furnishings, Electronic and Appliance Stores3,782,8803,495,3738.23%
Furniture Stores1,322,6931,175,70012.50%
Home Furnishings Stores774,949742,4384.38%
Electronics and Appliance Stores1,685,2381,577,2356.85%
Clothing and Accessories Stores4,009,8933,630,64810.45%
Clothing Stores3,072,3122,775,75010.68%
Shoe Stores457,251455,7780.32%
Jewellery, Luggage and Leather Goods Stores480,330399,12020.35%
Sporting Goods, Hobby, Book and Music Stores4,321,4783,963,3439.04%
Building Material and Garden Equipment5,377,1785,103,0495.37%
Miscellaneous Store Retailers2,915,9202,613,91011.55%
Cannabis Retailers485,421434,45711.73%

Retail Sales by Store Category, Year to Date Comparison

Year-to-Date Sales Ending MayMay-25May-24YTD
All Stores330,709,784315,940,8624.67%
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers94,802,86987,995,6617.74%
Gasoline Stations30,217,88631,304,219-3.47%
All Stores Less Automotive205,689,029196,640,9824.60%
Food and Beverage Stores63,148,21461,291,2023.03%
Supermarkets and Other Grocery Stores*46,001,28244,288,7413.87%
Convenience Stores3,244,7783,436,543-5.58%
Specialty Food Stores4,388,1774,081,2727.52%
Beer, Wine and Liquor Stores9,513,9799,484,6470.31%
Health and Personal Care Stores29,407,63527,265,7927.86%
All Stores Less Automotive, Food, and Pharmacies113,133,180108,083,9884.67%
General Merchandise Stores43,462,13041,776,5474.03%
Furniture, Home Furnishings, Electronic and Appliance Stores17,306,98016,660,4223.88%
Furniture Stores5,687,2365,443,7874.47%
Home Furnishings Stores3,445,2593,266,8775.46%
Electronics and Appliance Stores8,174,4867,949,7592.83%
Clothing and Accessories Stores16,132,85514,775,2399.19%
Clothing Stores12,488,02811,393,2469.61%
Shoe Stores1,717,1971,732,090-0.86%
Jewellery, Luggage and Leather Goods Stores1,927,6281,649,90216.83%
Sporting Goods, Hobby, Book and Music Stores18,269,67517,028,7577.29%
Building Material and Garden Equipment17,961,54017,843,0210.66%
Miscellaneous Store Retailers12,356,91811,055,40011.77%
Cannabis Retailers2,203,5302,040,5907.98%

Ecommerce Sales

May-25May-24
Ecommerce Sales, YTD19,696,13618,158,1388.47%
Ecommerce Sales, YOY4,443,9844,144,9977.21%

Regional Sales, Year to Date Comparison

RegionYear-to-Date, 2025Year-to-Date, 2024YTD
British Columbia45,551,64042,777,3416.49%
Vancouver23,291,22321,549,6038.08%
Alberta43,111,56740,830,0685.59%
Prairies*22,131,90720,894,9085.92%
Ontario122,965,009118,355,4993.89%
Toronto54,495,26253,635,3151.60%
Quรฉbec73,214,06170,490,4723.86%
Montrรฉal36,491,37035,123,0323.90%
Atlantic Canada22,521,63521,457,5024.96%
Territories1,213,9681,135,0746.95%

NATIONAL RETAIL BULLETIN

Thank you J.C. Williams Group for this report.

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