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Canadians Returning to Shopping Centres and Brick-and-Mortar Retail in a Big Way: JLL Study

Celebrated author Mark Twain over the years has been stuck with a famous quote he may or may never have said: The reports of my death are greatly exaggerated.

You could say, the bricks and mortar retail industry is likely uttering those words confidently these days after the release of a new report by commercial real estate firm JLL.

CF Toronto Eaton Centre (Photo: Dustin Fuhs)

The 2021 Retail Holiday Survey, by the company, found that 85 per cent of shoppers say they are going to return to shopping centres this holiday season and they’re going to be spending more time and more money in those malls.

“This is a great news story. I think it means that people want to go out and be in that environment and not sit in their pajamas and shop online,” said Tim Sanderson, Executive Vice-President, Retail, for JLL.

“I think people have done a lot of that going on two years now and I think it gets a little tired. I do believe that we’re social creatures and we want to get out and we want to touch and feel product and we want to see other people.

“When you walk through a shopping centre and you see lots of people in a great mood – it’s kind of hard to see people smiling, we’re all wearing masks – but when they’re carrying bags and they’re enjoying themselves, everybody gets caught up with that.”

The report also found that 72 per cent of shoppers will visit physical stores to buy or pick up goods, which is higher than last year’s 64 per cent. It’s also higher even than pre-pandemic levels, when 67 per cent of shoppers visited physical stores.

The report said curbside pickup has found a niche, especially among intentional buyers. In 2021, 18 per cent are ordering online and driving to the store’s designated pickup area. This is the same percentage as last year when the option first appeared in the survey.

The Eataly Holiday Market in Manulife Centre (Photo by Dustin Fuhs)

“Canadians of all ages, genders, regions, and incomes are returning to shopping centres this holiday season. With a large majority of the adult population fully vaccinated, 85 per cent of shoppers reported that they’re going to do holiday shopping in shopping centres,” said JLL.

“Shopper hesitancy seems to be in steady decline in Canada as more people feel comfortable with resuming physical shopping activities, including those in enclosed malls.

“This result demonstrates further progress compared with responses to the Bank of Canada’s previous consumer survey. In Q3, the Bank of Canada reported that about 75 per cent of respondents were willing to engage in at least a modest level of in-person activity.”

This fall, shopping centres across the country rolled out provincial health measures that have made dining safer and mitigated shopper hesitancy. Depending on the province, food courts and restaurants require proof of vaccination to access dining areas. After an initial drop in foot traffic, these food courts are expected to see increased visitation, especially during the holiday season, it said.

Best Buy Tech Wonderland at Yonge Dundas Square (Photo by Dustin Fuhs)

The JLL report said about half of shoppers say they will eat or drink in shopping centres and 37 per cent of them said they plan to spend on average 30 to 90 minutes when they visit a shopping centre.

The survey indicated that 31 per cent of shoppers would like to see shopping centres offer an online directory to discover and order products; 23 per cent wanted gift-wrapping services, 16 per cent want designated curbside pickup spots/services; 15 per cent would like events and shows; 14 per cent want online appointments to shop in a store; and nine per cent would like online appointments for the Christmas experience.

“Retail is going to get a lot more personal going forward,” said Sanderson. “ It’s your phone clicking and saying hey guess what we know you bought a pair of shoes six months ago, they’re probably getting a little worn out now, how about coming in. When they can track you and follow your habits, that’s one thing.

“You have a personal shopper. I’ll give a high end example of  Holt Renfrew. They’re big on that . . . That’s what people want. People want that personal connection, especially in fashion . . . I think the personalization of retail is going to continue and it’s only going to be enhanced through digital applications.”

The JLL report said Canadians plan to increase their gift spending budget by 11 per cent this year after having saved a significant share of income during the pandemic. The average amount Canadians plan to spend on gifts is $473.

AMAZON PRIME PACKAGE BEING DELIVERED

The JLL report also indicated that Amazon remains Canada’s top retailer with the preference of 32 per cent of shoppers while Walmart is second at 31 per cent.

Since 2019, the three most popular retailers in Canada have remained Amazon, Walmart, and Best Buy. In 2020, during the height of online sales, Amazon by far surpassed Walmart in shoppers’ preferences, said JLL.

“Year after year, Canadians’ top priority for shopping continues to be price, as indicated by 30 per cent of respondents. Most generations chose saving money as their top goal, with shoppers between 18 and 24 ranking it highest. In turn, shoppers between 45 and 54 more prefer to avoid the hassle and crowds,” added the report.

“Despite losing importance this time, getting friends and family what they want remains the second most important factor, especially for shoppers 55 or older. The pleasant surprise in 2021 is that more shoppers have put importance on having fun. For shoppers between 18 and 34, this ranked second.”

Sanderson said Canada remains a value-driven proposition when it comes to spending.

“People want to get stuff cheap,” he said.

The Bay Opens Technology Powered Pop-up at Toronto’s Stackt Market

Image: The Bay at Stackt Market (Exterior Night)

Canadian retailer The Bay has debuted an immersive pop-up shop in Toronto’s Stackt Market, a shipping container outdoor marketplace. The Bay is the digital spinoff of department store retailer Hudson’s Bay.

The Bay has created a digitally-integrated experience at Stackt which focuses on The Bay’s Holiday gift guide. Using the retailer’s See it, Scan it, Ship it technology, the pop-up carries more than 50 curated brands and allows customers the opportunity to simply scan a QR code.

Once the checkout is completed, the product is shipped directly to the customer’s chosen shipping address without having to carry around bags.

The Bay at Stackt Market (Image: The Bay)

“The assortment at Stackt has been thoughtfully curated to appeal to the local market, providing holiday inspiration to make shopping for the season effortless,” says Laura Janney, Chief Merchant, The Bay.

“I truly believe shoppers will be surprised and delighted to find all The Bay has to offer, especially with our new Marketplace. The Bay at Stackt is a fun and immersive experience that will help shoppers ring in the season – however they celebrate.”

Featured brands at the Stackt Market pop-up include Theragun, UGG, Zwilling, Dr. Dennis Gross Skincare, Lesley Hampton, Herschel, SMEG, Paw Patrol, Eatable, YSL, Google, Grace & Stella and more.

The Bay operates TheBay.com, in addition to 85 Hudson’s Bay stores.

FYidoctors Announces Acquisition of Montreal-Based Eyewear Chain BonLook: Interviews

Image: BonLook at Sherway Gardens

FYidoctors, Canada’s leading diversified healthcare organization, has acquired BonLook, the Montreal-based brand famous for its trendy styles and technology-driven approach to eyewear, boosting the FYidoctors portfolio with new opportunities to expand the brand nationally and beyond.

FYidoctors, which started in 2008, now has more than 300 stores with continued growth plans. BonLook, which has been around since 2011, has 36 stores across five provinces.

Image: BonLook
Image: Alan Ulsifer

Dr. Alan Ulsifer, Chair and CEO of FYidoctors with Calgary as its main head office, said BonLook strengthens the company’s overall portfolio with a brand that stands apart with a modern consumer offering. 

“We’re here to support BonLook’s growth and to continue offering unparalleled service to existing and new customers while creating business conditions for even more innovation to offer more quality products and superior services,” he said.

“We’re going to keep the brand the same. It is a different kind of customer segment. So their brand is very appealing to the Millennial, Gen Z group of people that want more convenience, they want affordable fashion, they’re not so caught up in runway brands, but they like what a brand stands for. It is a different customer segment that is more attractive to that segment than more traditional optical, or traditional eyecare.”

Ulsifer said there is great opportunity for the BonLook brand to grow online and the company will look at featuring BonLook products in some of the FYidoctors locations. 

Image: BonLook St Bruno
Sophie Boulanger and Louis-Félix Boulanger

BonLook, a pioneer in the online sale of branded prescription eyewear was founded by Sophie Boulanger and her brother Louis-Félix Boulanger. It began as an online business and then it started opening up stores about six years ago.

“We saw an immediate upside for our brand and company when we analyzed synergies between our organizations. BonLook’s entry into the FYidoctors family will provide the company and its employees with new strategic opportunities in this high growth market. Becoming a part of the FYi team ushers in a new chapter for us and it brings exciting growth, access to resources, and the opportunity to learn from their award-winning culture,” said Sophie Boulanger.

“The BonLook brand stays alive – alive and stronger than ever. Actually the partnership is meant to give us a bit of jet fuel to actually accelerate our growth. So we’re keeping the banner as it is, we’re keeping the BonLook team in place, we’re keeping the brand, we’re keeping all of our design capabilities and our head office here in Montreal.

“The idea of joining the FYi group is really to join forces and gives us the means to our ambitions to grow and double the footprint of the brand in the next two years.”

Image: BonLook

Louis-Félix Boulanger described FYi as a “spectacular” partner and a leader in optometry in Canada – the biggest employer of optometrists in the country. 

“It also has a tremendous lab and optical manufacturing operation and just best in class in what they do. We felt that it was very complementary to associate the leader in optometry and lab with a brand such as ourselves and really make it a partnership where one plus one equals three. It’s very accretive if you will,” he said.

Terms of the transaction are not being disclosed. Stifel GMP is acting as financial advisor to BonLook. Fasken Martineau DuMoulin LLP is acting as legal advisor to BonLook. Burnet, Duckworth & Palmer LLP is acting as legal advisor to FYidoctors.

George Minakakis

George Minakakis,  Principal of Inception Retail Group, a former Country Manager and CEO with Luxottica and author of The New Bricks & Mortar Future Proofing Retail, said BonLook is a Montreal brand that is positioned far lower in price positioning than FYi is.

“It is a different consumer and business model. The opportunity for FYi is that it does not have as big a presence in the Ontario and Quebec market as it does in western Canada,” he said. “Consolidation of eye care practices across Canada has and continues to be the main strategy of growth for existing operators. With SpecSavers entering the Canadian marketplace, someone buying BonLook certainly decreases the number of larger acquisitions available for their growth. 

PHOTO: FYI DOCTORS/VISIQUE

“However the question for FYi is this a brand that they will continue to operate as is and are they prepared to compete in Quebec where the market is dominantly led by NewLook which operates few brands across Canada. Acquisitions and mergers in this category are always interesting because players are trying to lock up more market share. What this also means is that the opportunity for future consolidation is getting narrowed down to independent eyecare professionals, which includes Optometry and Optician led practices. 

“We are about to see a lot more competition. And if anyone thinks that they can tame the market, into mid to high priced tiers they underestimate consumers. If I were still operating optical retail chains today I would be converting one of them into a mass market consumer brand to take share and it would happen very quickly with the right investment and marketing strategies.” 

Ulsifer said Canada has always been a competitive market, always attracting different players and it continues to do that.

“That competitiveness has been building for the last 20 years. It has become an extremely competitive market. I never take any competitor lightly and I never talk adversely about a competitor. But to be successfull you have to have incredible service, you have to have product variety and at a variety of price points that are competitive with others,” said Ulsifer.

“Canada’s a bit of a complicated market. We’re so big geographically and the population’s so spread out that it creates some challenges in distribution and timing that everybody faces and will continue to face. Do the right thing for your consumer, have the right product at the right price, and again great service is really the key to success in this industry. Loyalty is a bigger thing in eyecare than it is in general retail.”

Canadian Retail News From Around The Web For November 25th, 2021

Canadian Retail News From Around The Web

Top Stories: National

Central/Eastern Canada News

Western Canada News

Brief: Moose Knuckles Opens at CF Toronto Eaton Centre, Smash + Tess Opens 1st-Ever Storefront

Retail Insider Brief

Moose Knuckles Opens Impressive Store at CF Toronto Eaton Centre [Interview/Photos]

Exterior of Moose Knuckles store at CF Toronto Eaton Centre
Exterior of Moose Knuckles store at CF Toronto Eaton Centre (Photo: Moose Knuckles)

Montreal-based outerwear brand opens a 4,500 square foot permanent location in downtown Toronto.

Read more about the new store at CF Toronto Eaton Centre

Smash + Tess Opens 1st-Ever Pop-Up at Coquitlam Centre

Smash + Tess at Coquitlam Centre (Photo: Smash + Tess)

The popular Vancouver-based clothing brand has launched its first brick & mortar pop-up.

Bentley Launches New Store Concept in Preparation for Multi-Store National Roll-Out

Bentley Avalon Mall (Photo: Bentley)

Montreal-based luggage retailer opens showcase store at Avalon Mall.

Decathlon Canada Takes a New Approach for Black Friday

Image: Decathlon Calgary

The sports retailer will donate a portion of the day’s proceeds to local organizations.

Southern Alberta UFA Farm & Ranch Supply Store Opens with Drive Thru [Photos/Video]

Lethbridge UFA Farm & Ranch Supply Store

Calgary-based United Farmers of Alberta Co-operative debuts renovated Lethbridge location

Champs Sports Launches Canadian E-Commerce

Champs Sports in Oshawa Centre

New York-based Foot Locker Inc. has added ChampsSports.ca to the portfolio.

Grocer Sobeys Opens North America’s 1st ‘Flex Store’: Interview/Photos

Image: Sobeys Orangeville

Grocery giant Sobeys continues to roll out its national renovation program to redesign stores across the country.

One of the latest is the company’s location in Orangeville, Ontario.

“Our newly redesigned store concept boasts refreshed design, décor and a completely reinvented store experience,” said Mark Holly, SVP Real Estate & Construction, Sobeys Inc.

“Customers who visit our newly renovated Sobeys Orangeville store in Ontario will immediately notice that all departments have enjoyed a major refresh featuring new offerings including a dry-aged meat section, InFarm fresh herb live walls, new Rachelle-Bery health and wellness departments, and an expanded ready-to-eat food section. The newly redesigned departments also feature modern, sleek overhead canopies throughout the store.”

Image: Sobeys Orangeville
Image: Sobeys Orangeville

Sobeys is a wholly-owned subsidiary under Empire Company Limited which is headquartered in Stellarton, Nova Scotia. With approximately $28.5 billion in annualized sales and $15.9 billion in assets, Empire and its subsidiaries, franchisees and affiliates employ approximately 134,000 people. Besides Sobeys, its brands also include IGA, Safeway, Farm Boy, FreshCo, Thrifty Foods and Foodland.

Mark Holly

Holly shared that Empire launched Project Horizon in July 2020, which included plans for major investments in Empire’s store network.

“Since then, Empire has accelerated investment in physical assets, through renovations and conversions. While Sobeys Orangeville is the first store to be fitted with these particular flexible fixtures, the overall look and feel of this store can be experienced by customers at an additional 12 existing Sobeys and Safeway locations across Canada, all of which are part of our national renovation program.”

“While we cannot confirm exact future locations just yet, you can expect many refreshed stores throughout our network in the coming years. Currently, our modern, refreshed décor can be seen in 13 Sobeys and Safeway stores across the country, including Sobeys Queen St. and Sobeys Mumford Road in Halifax.”

Image: Sobeys Orangeville
Image: Sobeys Orangeville

Last year, Empire unveiled its Project Horizon, which is a three-year growth strategy for core business expansion and e-commerce acceleration.

Growth in market share is expected from supporting and investing further in the store network, improving store productivity, scaling up grocery e-commerce, growing the private label portfolio, continuing the Western discount business expansion, and increasing the Farm Boy footprint in Ontario, said the company at the time.

“The Company will accelerate investment in physical assets, through renovations and conversions, and store processes, communications, training, technology and tools. This will provide Empire’s store teammates with further capabilities and tools to better serve customers. Towards the end of the last three years, re-investment in Empire stores was a key priority. These investments, coupled with powerful refreshed brand marketing strategies, have been successful with strong returns. These priorities, along with the expansion of the FreshCo and Farm Boy banners, are reflected in the Company’s estimates of future capital spending, averaging $700 million annually over the next three years,” he said.

“Improving sales per square foot is the crucial engine for long term market share growth. During Project Sunrise, the Company built the foundation of its advanced analytics capabilities. Analytics will drive improvements in every customer facing element, including store footprints, customer promotions and availability of product on shelf. With Category Resets complete, the Company is able to further improve the customer experience by leveraging advanced analytics, to tailor its assortment to store formats and optimize product adjacencies.”

Bentley Leathers Launches Travel Retail Store Concept ‘Tracker’ with Plans for Major Expansion

Tracker at Montréal-Pierre Elliott Trudeau International

Montreal-based Bentley Leathers has launched a new travel-focused retail store concept targeting airports and other travel nodes called Tracker that it plans to roll out across Canada and beyond. The store expansion will act as the primary growth channel for Bentley following its restructuring shortly before the start of the pandemic. 

The first Tracker storefront opened earlier this month at Montréal-Pierre Elliott Trudeau International Airport near Montreal, and more locations are planned according to Bentley’s CEO Walter Lamothe. The Montreal airport store is located on the departure level just before security and it stocks a range of convenient, last minute travel necessities for people on the go. 

Image: Tracker at Montréal-Pierre Elliott Trudeau International

Tracker is actually the name of a bag and accessory brand developed by Bentley for its stores, and the name is now being used for the expansion which Lamothe said will be global. The new Tracker storefronts require minimal construction according to the retailer, with each storefront spanning between 200 and 400 square feet typically composed of freestanding walls and fixtures that can be retrofitted to existing locations. Bentley said that this makes it easy to adjust the concept to any airport, train station or transit station globally. “We have a team in place that understands the new reality we are living in, and has a vision of the stores of tomorrow that offer solutions for the everyday traveler,’’ says Richard Dumont, Vice-President Customer Experience.

Orange and black are the colours of the brand with stores featuring bright interiors and displays of highly curated collections of contemporary, functional and affordable luggage, duffle bags, and backpacks, as well as security handbags and modern travel accessories. 

One particularly unique feature of Tracker stores is a built-in vending machine which the retailer refers to as its ‘silent seller’ window. Customers can shop smaller items even if the store is closed via the vending machine with exterior window access. 

Bentley CEO Walter Lamothe told Retail Insider that his vision is to expand the Tracker concept to airports and transit stations in Canada and beyond. The ease of setup and potential for growth means that there’s currently no set targeted number of locations, and that the expansion will happen as opportunities present. 

The potential for growth of the Tracker brand globally could give Bentley a significant revenue boost after the retailer filed for creditor protection in late 2019 and restructured shortly thereafter in early 2020. The retailer had what Lamothe said at the time was too many locations and the restructuring allowed Bentley to right-size its retail footprint in this country. 

Now with Tracker, the opportunity for Bentley to grow its business is there under a different name — in order to expand globally, Bentley Leathers wasn’t able to use the ‘Bentley’ name because of intellectual property-related rights.  

Earlier this month, Lamothe said that he brought members of the Bentley team to the new Montreal airport Tracker store for something of a ‘pep rally’ and the feedback from the team was overwhelmingly positive. “It was thumbs up all around, we were thrilled,” Lamothe said. “The sentiment was that we made it through the pandemic and that Tracker is the crown on top of a long, tedious process.”

Bentley Leathers also recently opened a new store concept at the Avalon Mall in St. John’s Newfoundland, which is where the retailer opened its very first storefront in 1987. Bentley now operates over 160 stores across Canada in markets across the country and is considered to be the go-to retailer in Canada for affordably-priced bags and accessories. 

Southern Alberta UFA Farm & Ranch Supply Store Opens with Drive Thru [Photos/Video]

Lethbridge UFA Farm & Ranch Supply Store

Calgary-based United Farmers of Alberta Co-operative has debuted a new concept store location in Lethbridge.

The store underwent a full remodel that began in spring 2021, which includes a full modernization strategy that integrates e-commerce into the design.

“Lethbridge is a strong and growing market for UFA, and we are pleased to be able to enhance the service to our members and customers in southern Alberta with the improvements we have made,” said Scott Bolton, UFA President and Chief Executive Officer.

Lethbridge UFA Farm & Ranch Supply Store
Lethbridge UFA Farm & Ranch Supply Store
Scott Bolton

“The investment UFA has made in this location reflects our commitment to customers in the region and aligns with the promise we make to our members, to be the most trusted supplier of products and services in the markets we serve. We also employ local people, contributing to the local economy and community.”

Additional enhancements include a new drive thru, wider shopping aisles and a new building supplies area for a product showcase. There is also a new service desk designed for customer interaction and an online order pick-up area.

UFA Co-operative was founded in 1909 with more than 120,000 member-owners and includes more than 111 bulk fuel and Cardlock Petroleum locations, 34 Farm & Ranch Supply locations and employs more than 950 people.

Lethbridge UFA Farm & Ranch Supply Store
Lethbridge UFA Farm & Ranch Supply Store

Decathlon Canada Takes a New Approach for Black Friday

Image: Decathlon Calgary

Sporting goods retailer Decathlon Canada has announced a Black Friday initiative that will benefit local organizations across the country.

Jaylone Lee

The brand will be donating all proceeds from member purchases on Friday, November 26th, up to a total of $200,000, to a number of participating organizations that share Decathlon’s mission to promote access to sports.

“We are so thrilled to be able to support local organizations that are as passionate as we are about making sports more accessible,” says Jaylone Lee, Communications and Marketing Director for Decathlon Canada.

“We are incredibly proud of our teammates, who made a collective decision around how we, with our non-promotional, year-round fair pricing model, would approach Black Friday. Giving local teams a voice and empowering them and their members to impact their local communities – these are really important elements of the Decathlon experience.”

Image: Decathlon Canada
David Roy Proulx

The Black Friday initiative is one of many that the brand has identified as a way to give back to local communities and encourage participation in sports across the country.

“I love working for a company that shares my personal values. Giving back to the community is so important, and bringing sport into people’s lives means so much. It’s a big part of why I am so happy to work at Decathlon,” says David Roy Proulx, Store Leader at Decathlon Laval.

Decathlon has over 1,700 stores in over 60 countries around the world. Decathlon Canada has 10 stores across the country, with additional locations to be announced soon.

Local organizations involved in this year’s initiative

Le Centre du Sablon (Laval, QC) – Offers a variety of sports activities for people of all ages in the community. 

MS Society of Canada (Boisbriand, QC) – Provides support and information for those living with multiple sclerosis who would like to maintain an active lifestyle. 

Étudiants dans la course – EDLC  (Montreal, QC) – Supports young runners training for the Montreal Marathon. 

Action Nouvelle Vie (Brossard, QC) Provides concrete help to people in difficult situations, focusing on the well-being of children and youth, improving their living conditions and instilling hope.

Café Rencontre (Sainte-Foy, QC) – Provides support and access to affordable sports gear for underprivileged people in the community. 

Special Olympics Burlington (Burlington, ON) – Provides sporting opportunities for intellectually disabled youth and adults in the community. 

TBD (Vaughan, ON)

The Snowsuit Fund (Ottawa, ON) – Provides snowsuits for children in need so they can participate in outdoor winter activities. 

The Nova Scotia Sea School (Dartmouth, NS) – Empowers youth through wilderness and seafaring adventures.

KidSport (online and Calgary, AB) – Helps kids in marginalized or remote communities to get involved in sports. 

Canadian Retail Getting Back on Track (Mostly) According to StatCan Numbers

The latest numbers from Statistics Canada indicate that retail sales growth has cooled off just a little more. Total Canadian retail sales were up 5.8% year-over-year in Q3 2021, which is more in line with historical performance. Even so, this result is buoyed up by gasoline prices – excluding gas stations, Q3 retail sales were up just 3.9%.

The 3 month trend (orange line in the chart below) is weakening and may slip further. The underlying 12 month trend (green line) appears to have peaked and is likely to soften a little more by the end of the year.

All the major retail sectors, even e-commerce, are more or less following this “on the way back to normal” pattern.

Food & Drug

The Food & Drug sector had record high retail sales growth last year as the COVID pandemic raged. Since then however, performance has quickly come down. In Q3 2021, the sector’s retail sales increased only 0.9% year-over-year. The underlying 12 month growth rate has been steadily declining since the start of 2021, and is likely to weaken further by year’s end.

Food is the main problem area. Retail sales at supermarkets & other grocery stores fell 0.8% in Q3 2021 year-over-year, despite annual price inflation running in the 4% to 5% range. Specialty food stores did slightly better, with a 2.8% Q3 gain. It may be that consumers are dining out at restaurants more – it’s the revenge of the hungry Canadian.

Health & personal care stores did manage a reasonable gain in Q3, with retail sales up 4.9%. This is what pulled up the Food & Drug sector to its small but positive Q3 gain.

Store Merchandise

Retail sales in the Store Merchandise sector took a big hit in 2020 due to COVID related store and shopping mall closures. This was followed by a significant growth spike in Q2 2021, which more or less reversed previous losses. This rebound is now in the process of abating. Store Merchandise retail sales were up 7.5% year-over-year in Q3 2021, which is a lower gain than earlier in the year but still well within historical levels. Things seem to be adjusting to more normal conditions.

Most store types in the sector had good Q3 retail sales growth, especially clothing & clothing accessories stores with a gain of 16.1%, and furniture & home furnishings stores at up 10.8%.

Electronics & appliance stores however suffered a loss. Their Q3 retail sales were down 2.1% year-over-year.

Automotive & Related

The Automotive & Related sector is following the same script as Store Merchandise but with much greater extremes. Note that the scale in the above chart is double that of the previous one. The 3 month growth trend (orange line) has plummeted from nearly 80% earlier in the year to 8.1% in Q3 2021.

Slow vehicle sales are one reason behind the current downtrend. New car dealers’ retail sales were up just 2.9% year-over-year in Q3 2021, even though year ago sales were very modest. Due to supply chain issues, the situation is unlikely to improve by the year’s end.

On the other hand, gasoline station retail sales were up 26.0% in Q3, which more than offset lackluster vehicle sales. This however is mostly due to big increases in pump prices. When drivers pay more for gas, the car doesn’t go any farther and the ride isn’t any better – you just have less money for everything else.

By The Numbers

Note that the data and analysis in this report are always based on not seasonally adjusted (or unadjusted) retail sales statistics.

For definitions of store types, see Statistics Canada NAICS.

Canadian E-Commerce Sales

Canadian e-commerce retail sales benefitted greatly from COVID, but now things have reversed. In Q3 2021, total e-commerce sales were actually down 1.6% year-over-year, the first time a 3 month decline has occurred since Statistics Canada began reporting the numbers.

Overall, e-commerce represented about 6.4% of Canadian retail sales over the past 12 months, including both pure plays as well as bricks & clicks stores. Note that Canadian consumers may also buy online from foreign websites which is not captured in these numbers.

Location based retail is the same as that in the preceding “By The Numbers” table. It’s what’s normally reported as Canadian retail sales. Except that it isn’t. Location based retail excludes another section called Non-Store Retailers (NAICS code 454), which includes electronic shopping and mail-order houses, which in turn is where (mostly) pure play e-commerce businesses are. Over the 12 months ending September 2021, electronic shopping and mail-order houses had an estimated $26.6 billion in e-commerce sales.

But that’s not the only source of e-commerce, as (mostly) bricks & mortar location-based retailers also sell online. For the 12 months ending September 2021, this group had an estimated $17.6 billion in e-commerce sales. With electronic shopping and mail-order houses, there’s a grand total of $44.2 billion in e-commerce sales by Canadian operators. Note that this does not include foreign e-commerce purchases made by Canadian consumers, but it does include e-commerce purchases made by foreigners at Canadian operations.

For electronic shopping and mail-order houses, an estimated 96.1% of their sales are currently allocated to e-commerce. For (mostly) bricks & mortar retailers, it can be estimated that 2.7% of their total sales are attributable to e-commerce.

In the final section of the above table, (mostly) pure play operators (namely, under electronic shopping and mail-order houses) generated an estimated 60.2% of all e-commerce sales in Canada, while (mostly) bricks & mortar location-based retailers’ share of e-commerce was 39.8%.

For more explanation on the e-commerce numbers, see Statistics Canada: Retail E-commerce in Canada.

Monthly Update Notification

This analysis is updated monthly as new numbers are published by Statistics Canada. If you would like notification from Linkedin of when an update becomes available (and you’ve read this far), please connect with Ed Strapagiel on LinkedIn.