Family in the supermarket. Beautiful young mom and her little daughter smiling and buying food. The concept of healthy eating. Harvest
Updated Statistics Canada data show that unadjusted retail sales declined 0.7% year-over-year in Q1 2020. But that’s not the real story. Only about the second half of March was impacted by the COVID-19 shutdown, and for March alone the decline in Canadian retail sales was a whopping 10.9%. This is the sort of result, or worse, that we can expect in the April numbers when they are released.
Various retail sectors have been affected very differently. Food & Drug stores and E-Commerce have spiked up, while Store Merchandise and Automotive & Related have spiked down. The circumstances in Canadian retail however are so unprecedented that it makes little sense to consider trends. Things will likely return somewhat closer to normal at some point, but it’ll likely be a new normal that we haven’t seen before.
Food & Drug
Retail sales in the Food & Drug sector were up 8.8% year-over-year for Q1 2020, and a nosebleed plus 14.6% in March alone. As the above chart shows, there was a sharp spike in the 3 month short term trend (orange line in the chart), and the underlying 12 month trend (green line) has taken a distinct upward turn. These are anomalies however, and should cool off by midyear.
Supermarkets & other grocery stores led the charge, with retail sales increasing 22.1% year-over-year in March, and gaining a record 12.6% for Q1 2020 overall. This was a combined effect of consumer hoarding and of many other retailers temporarily closing their doors.
Health and personal care stores’ retail sales were up 5.5% in March. This was not nearly as robust as the gain for supermarkets but still well above the overall retail average.
Store Merchandise
Retail sales in the Store Merchandise sector took a sharp downturn, declining 10.4% year-over-year in March and 0.7% for Q1 2020 overall. Store and mall shutdowns only began in mid March however, so that the numbers for April are likely to be significantly worse.
Clothing and clothing accessories stores were hit especially hard. Their sales were down a colossal 54.1% in March versus last year, and were down 19.0% for Q1 2020. Many of these retailers are located in and are dependent on shopping malls which shut down. Furniture and home furnishings stores also had a terrible March with retail sales down 26.2%, likely due to consumers avoiding major purchases.
The one bright spot in this sector however was general merchandise retailers, whose retail sales gained a respectable 6.2% for both March and Q1. This group includes combination stores like Costco and Walmart which also serve as supermarkets, and/or tend to be larger retailers with better developed e-commerce capabilities to shore up their retail sales.
Note that Statistics Canada is now suppressing the breakdown of general merchandise stores for confidentiality reasons. The figures in the “By The Numbers” table below are estimates based on previous trends.
Automotive & Related
The Automotive & Related sector looks like it has just driven off a cliff. Retail sales were down 8.5% for Q1 overall, and off a huge 30.2% in March alone.
New car dealers saw their sales decline 35.0% in March due to closed dealerships and people reluctant to take on financial risk in times of economic uncertainty. Again, the numbers for April stand to be even worse.
Gasoline station retail sales were on a modest rise at the start if the year, but have since gone downhill, as pump prices have declined and people are staying home and driving less. In March, gas station sales were down 23.3% year-over-year.
By The Numbers
Special Note: Statistics Canada revised historical data with the February 2019 release. Unadjusted monthly data were revised back to January 2018, while seasonally adjusted data were revised back to January 2015. Those keeping score should update their files. The analysis in this report is always based on unadjusted data.
Canadian E-Commerce Sales
Just as there were major changes in location-based retail sales, StatsCan data shows an upswing in e-commerce.
Overall, e-commerce represented about 3.7% of Canadian retail sales for the 12 months ending March 2020, including both pure play sellers as well as the online operations of brick & mortar stores. In March 2020 alone however, e-commerce’s share of total was up to 4.9%. Note that Canadian consumers may also buy online from foreign websites which is not captured in these numbers.
Canadian e-commerce sales were up 23.8% year-over-year in Q1 2020. This was far better than for location based retail which lost 0.7%. In March 2020 alone, e-commerce sales gained a huge 40.4% over a year ago. Year-over-year growth of e-commerce sales is expected to increase in the next few months as consumers become more accustomed to shopping online.
Note that location based retail is the same as that in the preceding “By The Numbers” table. It’s what’s normally reported as Canadian retail sales. Except that it isn’t. Location based retail excludes another section called Non-Store Retailers (NAICS code 454), which includes electronic shopping and mail-order houses, which in turn is where (mostly) pure play e-commerce businesses are. For the 12 months ending March 2020, electronic shopping and mail-order houses had an estimated $15.1 billion in e-commerce sales.
But that’s not the only source of e-commerce, as (mostly) bricks & mortar location-based retailers also sell online. For the 12 months ending March 2020, this group had an estimated $8.1 billion in e-commerce sales. With electronic shopping and mail-order houses, there’s a grand total of $23.3 billion in e-commerce sales by Canadian operators. Note that this does not include foreign e-commerce purchases made by Canadian consumers, but it does include e-commerce purchases made by foreigners at Canadian operations.
For electronic shopping and mail-order houses, an estimated 85.8% of their sales are allocated to e-commerce. For (mostly) bricks & mortar retailers, it can be estimated that just 1.3% of their total sales are attributable to e-commerce.
In the final section of the above table, (mostly) pure play operators (namely, under electronic shopping and mail-order houses) generated an estimated 65.1% of all e-commerce sales in Canada, while (mostly) bricks & mortar location-based retailers’ share of e-commerce was 34.9%.
ORIGINAL FRIENDLY STRANGER LOCATION ON QUEEN ST, TORONTO. PHOTO: YELP
It’s been a busy 2020 so far for Friendly Stranger and the Friendly Stranger Holdings Corp (FSHC) team. And it doesn’t look like it’s slowing down any time soon.
This is good news for Canadian retail, at a time when we could all use some positive stories.
To kick off the year, the FSHC team added the iconic HOTBOX™️ to its growing portfolio. Having already included the family-run Happy Dayz™️ brand, this allowed them to get into the full-service model of serving the cannabis industry. Now their brand spans from accessories to product and ultimately they plan to add consumption lounges (when they become legal).
This month, in the midst of the COVID-19 crisis, Friendly Stranger opened its first Toronto cannabis retail location on Church Street. This marked its third cannabis shop, with London and Burlington also opening their doors earlier this year.
Patience and flexibility are required in any construction project. But they were never so prevalent in the newest project as when COVID-19 added its many challenges. Just a few included working virtually with the Alcohol and Gaming Commission of Ontario (AGCO) to meet the regulatory requirements and pass the pre-opening inspection.
PHOTO: FRIENDLY STRANGER
NEW FRIENDLY STRANGER LOCATION ON CHURCH ST IN TORONTO. PHOTO: FRIENDLY STRANGER
FSHC is planning to open its fourth location on Queen Street West, very close to the original store. And two more planned Friendly Stranger stores have just received building permits in Oshawa and Hamilton.
And if that isn’t enough, the FSHC is working to convert four Happy Dayz™️ locations to be licensed to sell cannabis, and Kensington Market’s HOTBOX™️ will reopen in the coming months.
Two more Toronto stores are planned to open: one HOTBOX (converted to cannabis retail) and one new Friendly Stranger on Danforth. HappyDayz conversions will happen next in their smaller markets of Barrie, Orillia, Peterborough, and Oshawa.
2020 Schedule of FSHC Expansion at a glance:
London and Burlington open
Church Street location opens
Queen Street West is restarting construction
Oshawa and Hamilton have building permits
Two more in Toronto: HOTBOX convert and net new Friendly Stranger on Danforth
Two more applications are scheduled to get in the AGLC queue (construction TBD)
Staying true to their values
“We are pleased to deliver on our aggressive expansion plan to become the leading cannabis and cannabis accessory retailer in Ontario,” states James Jesty, President of FSHC. “We have dedicated staff who are eager to safely serve and educate the community, remaining true to our company’s core mission and values.”
With a deep history of community presence and involvement, their dedication to education and drive to eliminate the stigma surrounding cannabis will remain front and centre.
As proof of its community commitment, Friendly Stranger has been in the Queen Street West community since 1994, HOTBOX has spent the past 20 years in the Kensington Market and Happy Dayz is a family-run business in their smaller communities.
PHOTO: HOTBOX KENSINGTON MARKET, TORONTO.
Several of their newest stores opened up just before (or during) the COVID-19 crisis so they haven’t been able to reach out in a meaningful way to the surrounding communities. The plan is there to also welcome the communities into the stores; a few of the new locations have small community rooms where the company will do cannabis education and local organizations can request space for meetings.
As they embark on their newest location in the Village, FSHC extends their commitment of support to LGBTQ2IA+ communities.
As more locations open, how is the transition from selling accessories to product retailer going?
Jesty sees it as a natural progression. 80 percent of their customer base are connoisseurs, the daily user. He’s very happy to be able to take the Friendly Stranger experience and brand and transition it into full-service stores.
“We are unique to our competitors because we have this long history and understanding of legacy and multiple brands,” explains Jesty. “I consider it a competitive advantage. And we’re still a small team, so we’re nimble and able to leverage our locations and reputation.”
What about expansion outside of southern Ontario?
“We’re in this for the long-haul. We will continue to grow. Obviously, we’re struggling like everyone else,” Jesty comments. “But there is now some light at the end of the tunnel. Over the next six to 12 months, the industry should continue to grow. And (we hope) to be in a position to look at real estate that makes sense and sign leases.”
Currently, FSHC has leases from Windsor to Ottawa. They continue to look for opportunities where they exist. But for now, they’re focusing on the GTA. Which makes sense as that’s where their brand recognition is strongest and it’s been their loyal customer base for both Friendly Stranger and HOTBOX for decades. It’s also still the largest market to grow in.
But FSHC isn’t saying no to merging or acquiring stores throughout the country.
“I’d love to have a 24-month outlook but as we’ve seen in the past two years, it’s very hard,” says Jesty. “We’re still on an aggressive growth plan and that’s super exciting.”
I suggested that they could use a conventional commercial lease structure but substitute a qualified rental residential operator for the qualified commercial or retail tenant.
I further indicated that this would have a number of positive business advantages with few if any of the negatives that residential condo development can entail.
Using this model to develop rental residential, the mall owner would not have to sell or subdivide any of its land; nor would it have to take on partners. Both of which can be anathema to a mall owner.
The owner would gain a secure long term, rent-paying anchor tenant and both the mall owner and the retail tenants would profit from the increased foot traffic.
Financing the new development would be relatively straightforward since institutional lenders are familiar with the shopping centre leasing model.
RENDERING OF BONNIE DOON MIXED-USE PROPERTY IN EDMONTON. RENDERING: BONNIE DOON
But while financing using this model would be simpler, it would not, in this COVID-19 era, be a slam-dunk. After watching prize clients lose 30% or more of their value virtually overnight as a result of the global lockdown, lenders are understandably skittish these days.
To get a favourable response from a lender, the lease will have to be structured in a way that provides a bulletproof covenant, or at least one that is much stronger than before.
When major retailers are demanding rent abatement and even rent forgiveness and long established public corporations are looking for government loans and guarantees and household retail names are seeking protection in bankruptcy laws, much more than a slickly-packaged business plan will be required before a conventional lender will advance money even for a development as revenue-certain as rental residential in a major urban centre.
What a prudent lender will require is evidence that a collaborative business relationship between the mall owner and the municipality exists. This collaboration could take several different forms. Here are two:
Option One would involve the City’s giving its public blessing to the project by, for example, forgiving payment of the development charges (for more than the current five years for affordable rental projects) and fast tracking the development application in return for a number of the new rental residential suites being suitably-sized for families with children and a portion of the units being made available to qualified renters as “affordable” (which in the Greater Toronto Area usually means 80% of local market rent).
Option Two would be a true partnership. As a condition of development approval, the municipality would receive an equity position in the new rental residential project. This position could be structured so as to limit the municipality’s liability while still lending its credibility to the project. In most cases this, along with a qualified head lessee for the new rental residential portion, could be sufficient for the required covenant.
Worldwide, the equity partnership strategy has been gaining traction in the past few years.
RENDERING OF THE OAKRIDGE CENTRE MIXED-USE PROPERTY IN VANCOUVER. RENDERING:OAKRIDGE CENTRE
It has been successfully adopted by a number of African countries in dealing with Canadian mining companies, and by some Asian (and European) countries in dealing with major foreign investment of any kind. Within Canada itself, First Nations currently demand an equity position in dealing with the oil and gas industry.
Going forward in the COVID era, it is highly likely the equity partnership model will become even more widely (and creatively) used.
A headline in the May 21, 2020 edition of the Financial Post (“Feds to seek equity or cash from firms applying for bridge loans”) suggests that the federal government is aware that institutional lenders will now want to see tangible evidence of on-going public sector involvement in major projects before they will commit money to them.
While the financing requirements for major projects have already tightened, the growing demand for reasonably priced, conveniently located, rental residential housing in urban areas is not likely to wane anytime soon.
The fiscal emergency now facing cities across Canada means that the widely trumpeted plans to make selected city-owned lands available for a few hundred of the tens of thousands of sorely needed new rental residential suites have been shelved, likely for the foreseeable future.
This has created a singular opportunity for savvy owners of neighbourhood shopping malls to add revenue-producing anchor tenants while satisfying an urgent human need.
Colin Hefferon
Colin Hefferon is a planning and development consultant. A former Ontario Municipal Board (now LPAT) Member, Colin can be reached at chefferon88@gmail.com
The COVID-19 pandemic has substantially disrupted numerous aspects of everyday life, forcing people to socialize over video chats instead of in person or work from home instead of coming into their offices. This global health crisis has also impacted the Canadian retail sector, and particularly, companies’ abilities to meet customers’ needs.
Here are four retail fulfillment challenges likely to exist for the foreseeable future:
1. Consumers More Likely to Buy Food in Bulk
A recent Deloitte study investigated how Canadians shop differently because of COVID-19 and what that means for retailers. One of the trends related to how people are more likely to stock up on groceries. The statistics showed 1 in 4 Canadians had more food on hand than usual. Also, 13% of Canadians aged 55 and older bought enough food to last more than 30 days.
Another relevant finding showed 45% of Canadians purchased enough food to last them one to two weeks. That suggests people are no longer shopping by visiting stores several times in one week. They’re now planning how to get what they need for longer timespans.
This new pattern of buying more during each visit means Canadian retail brands may struggle to keep shelves full. Introducing item limits on the most in-demand merchandise could stop shoppers who otherwise buy out of panic more than necessity, though.
2. Retailers’ Websites Having Difficulty With the Increased Traffic
The coronavirus moved substantial amounts of retail activity online and away from physical stores. Some brands’ websites crashed under the increased demand.
Canadian Tire closed its physical stores in Ontario this April to satisfy government-imposed rules to restrict the virus’ spread. Customers could still shop by requesting home deliveries or arranging curbside pickups online. Many couldn’t do that because they saw website messages about system difficulties. Some also reported errors when using the brand’s app, and other buyers complained via Twitter.
When a retailer’s online infrastructure cannot tolerate traffic spikes, the affected brands are highly likely to experience retail fulfillment challenges. Some enterprises cope with them by introducing virtual queue systems. These tell a shopper how many people are in front of them. As one individual finishes buying things, another consumer gets the chance.
Those setups bring downsides, too, however. Loyal customers may become fed up by the prospect of long wait times. They may decide to go elsewhere to buy what they need and want.
3. Competing With Amazon
Many people immediately associate shopping online with Amazon, and that’s nothing new. One of the defining e-commerce trends of 2018 was the so-called “Amazon effect.” The brand accounted for more than 60.5% of online sales growth then, and it remains dominant. Perks like two-day shipping within Canada make consumers eager to shop at the site while challenging all other e-commerce retailers to prove they’re worthy of shoppers’ business, too.
Analysts say that even Amazon is having a hard time during the coronavirus outbreak. Individuals buying non-essential items may have to wait for them as long as a month. Setting up a website to seize opportunities is not easy, though. Some smaller retailers didn’t have websites before the mandatory shutdowns, leaving them racing to catch up.
Plus, Amazon uses high-tech algorithms to make product suggestions, leading to more personalized experiences. Most retailers entering the e-commerce space can’t implement features like that. What they can do, though, is set expectations for customers. Showing shoppers the real-time in-stock quantities of products and giving them accurate order fulfillment timeframes can keep them happy.
4. Shipping Delays
Canadian retail brands must compensate for possible fulfillment slowdowns occurring once goods leave a company’s facilities. For example, many trucking businesses are laying off workers and discovering that the March demand upticks for their enterprises did not persist beyond that month.
Trucking business professionals expect various difficulties in the future. Some foresee cutting operating budgets, while others anticipate trouble sourcing vehicle components to keep fleets in working order. The industry downturn may mean retailers have to switch transportation suppliers or wait longer for merchandise pickups at warehouses.
Canada Post also reported delivery levels equal to those seen during the holiday season. On April 20 alone, the company delivered 1.8 million parcels to customers. Retailers can avoid disappointing consumers by giving specifics. They could say something like, “We pack most orders within two working days, but shipments may take up to a week to arrive after leaving our premises.”
Awareness of Retail Fulfillment Delays Can Spur Effective Action
Once Canadian retail brands understand the most probable issues they’ll face concerning fulfillment, the knowledge will enable them to reduce major issues. Assessing the current and emerging situations will help retailers make feasible plans to weather the pandemic.
Kayla Matthews
Kayla Matthews is a researcher, writer and blogger covering topics related to technology, smart gadgets, the future of work and personal productivity. She is the owner and editor of ProductivityTheory.com and ProductivityBytes.com. Previously, Kayla was a senior writer at MakeUseOf and contributing freelancer to Digital Trends. Kayla’s work on smart homes and consumer tech has also been featured on Houzz, Dwell, Inman and Curbed. Additionally, her work has appeared on Quartz, PRNewswire, The Week, The Next Web, Lifehacker, Mashable, The Daily Dot, WIRED and others.
With businesses across Canada preparing to reopen in the near future, restaurants are scrambling to put measures in place that will satisfy the health authorities and at the same time give consumers a sense of ease in making their decision to dine and drink out again.
Increased vigilance when it comes to cleanliness and sanitization will be paramount and other measures are sure to impact the customer experience in an establishment.
Everything is on the table so to speak including plexiglass shields to separate restaurant and bar staff from customers and customers from other customers, spacing out tables for social distancing, limiting the number of people in a washroom at a single time, servers wearing masks and gloves, tables clear of everything, reducing the number of customers in the establishment at any one time, and placing mannequins at empty tables to make it feel like there are more people there.
Each of the restaurants are going to look different depending on what is going to be mandated by the individual provincial governments.
A CAFE USING A PLEXIGLASS SHIELD AT THE COUNTER. PHOTO: PEREGRINE
“They definitely need to consider sanitation and sanitary procedures. One of the big things that’s going to come out of this is that restaurants have always been extremely sanitary so to speak. They have a lot of processes and procedures in place to ensure sanitation but a lot of that always happened in the background and guests don’t necessarily know what goes into ensuring good sanitation procedures are followed,” said David Hopkins, President of The Fifteen Group, one of North America’s leading hospitality industry experts.
“Going forward there will be new processes and procedures to be even cleaner and more hygienic but I think more importantly restaurants are going to need to promote what they’re doing a lot more to the guests and make sure the guests know even the things they were doing before, that seem automatic, but now we want to make sure it’s part of our experience that guests feel comfortable in understanding what we’re doing.”
Food courts in shopping centres and office areas will present their unique challenges. Social distancing will likely mean much of the seating will be covered up or removed. There will also have to be measures in place to deal with lineups.
Hopkins said the company is telling all its restaurant clients that they need to re-work what their profitability model and what their success model looks like. Even the successful restaurant, what it was doing in February and January, most likely won’t be what will continue to make it money in June, July, August, and going forward at least in the short-term because of capacity restrictions, supply chain issues.
EXAMPLES OF SAFETY MEASURES TAKEN IN A RESTAURANT IN THE UK. PHOTO: METRO
“Just because you were making money in January doesn’t mean you will make money in July,” said Hopkins. “So we’re encouraging our clients to not just reopen doing the exact same thing you were doing before and think everything will be great. It’s almost like doing a new opening. Obviously not changing the roots of your concept but certainly it’s almost like developing a new business model moving forward to ensure that you’re not surprised. That’s going to have to be reviewed and adjusted regularly as well. Supply chain issues in June and July may be completely resolved or different in August and September.”
The million-dollar question for the restaurant industry is how will consumers react to the reopening. Some will go back like they did before and maybe even more so as there will be so much pent-up demand. Others will be leery and worried about safety and stay away. Or they will stay away because they have become more frugal in their spending.
“I think one thing we’ve learned from this lockdown is how social we are and how much we crave that social interaction. We crave that experience. I think people will get over it fairly quickly,” said Hopkins. “I think consumers will adapt fairly quickly.
“I think the best (restaurants) are going to be the ones that can incorporate as many of those changes kind of somewhat seamlessly into their operation as opposed to them being an eyesore. Restaurants put a lot of time, effort and thought into creating a brand experience, not just serving food.”
David Lefebvre, Restaurants Canada Vice President, Federal and Quebec, said it’s an encouraging sign that establishments will be reopening.
“We’re not going to have two or three chances to make it right. So we need to make it right the first time,” he said. “That means to continue what was started when delivery and takeout was allowed. Over nine weeks, you’ve not had any COVID outbreak in foodservice or anything related to delivery and takeout. Our industry and our members have proven that when allowed they can do things safely. So it’s just to make sure that it continues with the reopening of some other parts of the industry.
“To make sure that people are safe, they feel safe, and they can at the same time have a good positive experience going to the restaurant.”
Being restricted to a limited capacity will be challenging for restaurants in their cash flow situations. The most recent Restaurant Canada’s survey found that 10 percent of restaurants are permanently closed. It also found that 18 percent said that if nothing significant is done within three months they’re not going to reopen. Also the latest survey found that almost 70 percent of the independent operators say that liquidity will be a problem once they try to reopen.
The industry’s unique challenge was the loss of inventory (food) during the pandemic crisis. So the challenge has been for them to rebuild inventories and re-contact distributors.
“They will need some cash to do this but unfortunately because of the high rents and because of all the things they still need to pay even though they have very, very low revenues a lot of them don’t have the cash to do it,” said Lefebrve.
The idea for ShipperBee came to Jim Estill a few years ago while he was driving on a busy highway behind a FedEx truck heading into Toronto.
“As I was sitting behind the truck and amongst a sea of cars, I realized that many vehicles are empty. Empty back seats, empty trunk space, and empty passenger seats. It occurred to me that there simply had to be a better and more productive way to tap into this unused space to transfer parcels, reduce congestion on our roads and the environmental impact the shipping industry has on the planet,” said Estill, founder and CEO of the company which began operations in January 2018.
ShipperBee, based in Guelph, Ont., is a first-of-its-kind regional parcel courier that cuts distribution centres out of the equation to help save shippers money, end unnecessary local delivery delays, and drastically reduce carbon emissions.
The company uses a collaborative delivery driver network and innovative, smart, interconnected transfer mailboxes called Hives to transfer and store parcels to their end point destination.
ShipperBee’s collaborative delivery driver network consists of people who are already on the road and in transit — commuters, stay-at-home parents, students, retirees, rideshare drivers, roadtrippers — who tap into their underutilized vehicle space to deliver parcels across the company’s Hive transfer mailboxes “like a baton in a relay”.
By tapping into this unused space to transfer parcels, ShipperBee says that it has the ability to minimize the impact of shipping on the planet. Like traditional couriers, the company’s drivers go through an extensive background check to ensure parcel safety and security. They’re also rated in a similar way as Uber and Lyft drivers. Drivers with higher ratings get offered more ShipperBee gigs to ensure the company delivers an exceptional customer experience for the shipper and parcel recipient. The adoption of a rideshare business model also means drivers can also benefit from many of the online communities available to rideshare drivers.
ShipperBee Hives are typically situated at strategic and high traffic locations like gas and convenience stores. They’re WiFi connected, fully weatherproof, camera equipped and are virtually indestructible, keeping parcels safe and secure between drivers and final delivery.
“As an environmentalist at heart, I see the true advantage of our model and Hive network being the impact shipping has on the planet. Our studies have shown that for every parcel we ship, we reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 73.1 percent, making our model far more eco-friendly. In addition, without a hub-and-spoke distribution model, we reduce the amount of traffic on the roads and don’t carry the overhead and operating costs traditional couriers do,” comments Estill.
“Fundamentally, the core of our business is aimed at being very kind to the planet. We’re building a more decentralized network with our Hives. They’re more strategically located and in closer proximity to that regional last mile,” added Lynda Murray, ShipperBee’s Chief Marketing Officer.
Many studies have shown that consumers prefer to purchase products and services from companies that stand for a purpose that reflects their own values and beliefs and will avoid companies that don’t. Consumers want companies to take a stand on the social, cultural, environmental and political issues that they care about the most.
PHOTO: SHIPPERBEE
PHOTO: SHIPPERBEE
“ShipperBee really aligns with what consumers are looking for today which are brands that are more purpose and value-driven,” said Murray. “By leveraging ShipperBee for their regional shipping, brands that are environmentally focused have a significant opportunity to align with the last connection they have with their customer — the delivery of their product — to deepen that relationship and differentiate themselves from their competition.”
She said the company has definitely seen an increase in consumers looking for much more of a focus on sustainability across all areas of their business.
“When you look at the shipping industry, there’s not a lot of sustainable, eco-friendly approaches. While couriers with hub-and-spoke are implementing greener technologies, their system is still an indirect delivery route causing environmental damage like microplastics from large truck tires and wear and tear on the roads leading to more construction and traffic congestion,” said Murray. “As consumers evaluate and become more conscious about their purchase behaviours, they’re seeking brands that are aligned to their values around sustainability and doing good.”
Without hub-and-spoke overhead, ShipperBee says that it offers a simple, transparent and flat rate pricing model. There are no hidden fees, residential surcharges, or fuel surcharges, which means shippers can save up to 33 percent on their monthly shipping invoice.
“Unlike delivery giants, we don’t have the operating costs and overhead associated with distribution centres or maintaining large fleets of trucks. As a result, we’re able to pass these savings on to our customers, which in an era where consumers expect free shipping means a greater ability to keep prices lower and remain competitive,” adds Estill.
This regional shipping model couldn’t be more timely as Canada faces an old paradigm of shipping and a parcel industry that is growing at 20 percent per year — which is showing strong indicators that it’s growth rate is rapidly increasing with COVID-19 among us. As consumers turn to ordering the products they need online to remain safe and healthy, industry capacity is rapidly dwindling and consumers are facing delays in getting their orders. ShipperBee’s regional delivery solution helps increase the speed of delivery to customers during this unprecedented time.
ShipperBee also offers real-time GPS-enabled tracking for parcels where shippers and consumers can pinpoint their parcel’s exact destination at any point and time. Plus, the company’s drivers take a picture of the parcel when it’s delivered and uploads it via the driver app so shippers can see the parcel at the final delivery destination. “It’s a much better delivery when a picture is captured and an email or text is delivered when your parcel has been delivered to your front porch,” adds Estill.
ShipperBee currently operates in the Greater Toronto Area, but Estill said the plan is to expand the company across Canada and across the United States. It will take a year before it expands throughout most of Canada, however.
Street-facing stores began opening last Friday in Toronto and pent-up demand saw shoppers line up in some areas. Since then, some retailers have reported impressive sales numbers though uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus could see that change.
On the Bloor Street West ‘Mink Mile’ on Saturday and into the week, shoppers lined up outside of stores such as Zara, H&M, Sephora, Dior, Louis Vuitton, Tiffany & Co, and others. On Queen Street West, those retailers that had opened also saw strong business early on, and some have seen steady traffic through the week as summer weather has arrived in southern Ontario.
The warm weekend also saw more than 10,000 people gather at Trinity Bellwoods Park in Toronto’s West End which caused concern. If an increase in COVID-19 cases and deaths occur, more strict regulations could be implemented by governments.
Retailers with street entrances across Toronto have implemented protocols for hygiene and safety as they welcome customers. The lineups at some retailers are due to capacity limits within spaces, necessitated by physical distancing protocols. Hand sanitizer appeared to be part of the retail experience in stores that we visited, and many store employees were wearing face masks. Cleaning seemed to be a constant activity, particularly on surfaces that consumers may have touched. Some retailers allowed customers to try on clothing in dressing rooms, though in some instances there were fewer of them. According to stylist Yana Brikker, the Zara and H&M stores in Bloor-Yorkville area have closed dressing rooms temporarily — customers are buying product to try on at home, and anything that isn’t’ wanted can be returned. Merchandise that is tried on or returned is being quarantined for between one and three days typically, depending on the retailer. On Wednesday, Ms. Brikker posted on Instagram that there was a substantial lineup in front of the newly reopened Winners store at 110 Bloor Street West.
As of Thursday, stores in enclosed malls without exterior entrances remained closed. Some open-air shopping centres such as the Toronto Premium Outlets have opened and are said to be getting decent foot traffic, though less than that of a typical May warm weather day.
The following is a set of photos with descriptions from tours of downtown Toronto by Retail Insider editors Craig Patterson and Jessica Finch.
PHOTO: CRAIG PATTERSON
Above: The Tiffany & Co. store on Bloor Street West had a lineup on Saturday. The Louis Vuitton store also had lines throughout the day. It appears that there was some pent-up demand and customers were treating themselves. One difference than before, we’ve been told — shoppers visiting stores are not just browsing, they’re looking to buy.
PHOTO: CRAIG PATTERSON
Above: The Dior flagship on Bloor Street West, which is the largest Dior store in North America, has customers waiting to get in. We noticed shopping bags carried on the street from many pricey brands including Louis Vuitton, Chanel, Gucci, and others.
PHOTO: CRAIG PATTERSON
Above: A lineup at the Sephora store on Bloor Street West. We noticed that some of the shoppers in line at some stores were also in line at other stores, and they were definitely buying. Two individuals in this photo were also spied shopping at both the Dior flagship as well as at the Dior accessory concession at the nearby Holt Renfrew flagship, for example.
PHOTO: CRAIG PATTERSON
Above: The Christian Louboutin flagship store on Yorkville Avenue was shut on Saturday — not all retailers have opened when permitted. In the photo below, the Versace store on Yorkville Avenue was closed. However Stone Island and Chanel were open, and there was even a lineup at one point to get into Chanel (though not when we took this photo).
PHOTO: CRAIG PATTERSONPHOTO: CRAIG PATTERSON
Above: The Off-White store on Yorkville Avenue hadn’t opened yet on Saturday, nor had Cartier on Bloor Street in the photo below. Cartier was doing curbside pickup, however, and hand sanitizer and masks were seen in the foyer.
Above: Throughout the day, shoppers lined up to get into the Zara store on Bloor Street West. The store’s product was spaced out and the normally crowded retail space felt ‘roomy’. Dressing rooms are not open so customers may purchase items to try on at home and for that which isn’t wanted, returns are possible.
PHOTO: CRAIG PATTERSON
We snapped the photo above from the street-facing entrance to the Zara store on Bloor Street. The store also has an entrance underground from within the Holt Renfrew Centre — that entrance is shut for the time being until enclosed mall retailers are permitted to reopen.
PHOTO: CRAIG PATTERSON
Above: A surprisingly busy corner of Yonge Street and Bloor Street, which is considered to be an important crossroads for the city. Much of the foot traffic in downtown Toronto has been reliant on those arriving via public transit, and some are not yet comfortable taking buses or the subway at this time.
PHOTO: CRAIG PATTERSON
Above: inside the buzzing Holt Renfrew flagship store at 50 Bloor Street West. When one enters the store, they are asked to use the hand sanitizer dispenser. Masks are provided to those who would like to wear one. The store has implanted health and sanitization protocols as set out in an article in Retail Insider earlier this month.
Below: The photo is of the mezzanine footwear hall at Holt Renfrew. The ‘Café at Holts’ to the left has not yet reopened. The space is stunning and overlooks Bloor Street towards Eataly.
PHOTO: CRAIG PATTERSONPHOTO: CRAIG PATTERSON
Above: A small line outside the Dior accessory concession at Holt Renfrew on Bloor Street. Floor decals indicate where customers should stand, though they appear to be somewhat ignored in the photo. Three of the customers in this photo were also in the photo of Sephora above, including one woman wearing a very expensive Gucci jacket and Dior boots.
Above: The Saks Fifth Avenue store at the southwest corner of Queen Street and Yonge Street reopened on Friday. As with Holts, Saks has implemented sanitization and health protocols to make customers feel safe. The adjacent Hudson’s Bay flagship store is also now open. The photo above was taken by Karim Rashwan, and the photo below was taken by Jessica Finch.
PHOTO: JESSICA FINCH
Above: Queen Street West in Toronto — stores are slowly starting to reopen, though surprisingly many are still closed at the time of publication. We are hoping that the shuttered stores are not an indication that some will never be reopening, though we’re aware that there are quite a few commercial spaces for lease/sublease at the moment.
PHOTO: JESSICA FINCH
Above: The Hunny Pot cannabis retail space at 202 Queen Street West has a small lineup to get in. Cannabis retailers in Ontario were deemed ‘non-essential’ temporarily by governments, and many have since reopened. The Hunny Pot was the first legal cannabis retailer to open in Ontario.
PHOTO: JESSICA FINCH
Above: A new LCBO liquor store has opened on Queen Street West — alcohol consumption in Toronto is said to have increased with the pandemic. Below is a space for lease by brokerage JLL on Queen Street West.
PHOTO: JESSICA FINCHPHOTO: JESSICA FINCH
Above: Spanish fashion retailer Zara is clearly popular with Canadians. This is a lineup to get into the Zara store on Queen Street West. Zara has three stores in downtown Toronto, with the other being at CF Toronto Eaton Centre.
Above: Good news that fashion retailer Due West on Queen Street West has survived the shutdown and is open for the time being.
PHOTO: JESSICA FINCH
Above: A former Gap store location on Queen Street West in Toronto. The store shut before the pandemic as the site will be redeveloped. The Gap has been closing stores across Canada and more closures are said to be in the works, including a flagship on the ‘Mink Mile’.
Below: Several more photos of Queen Street West as businesses reopen.
Above: The newly reopened Urban Outfitters store on Queen Street West.
PHOTO: JESSICA FINCH
PHOTO: JESSICA FINCH
PHOTO: JESSICA FINCH
Above: The ‘cool’ section of West Queen West is seeing many retailers reopen, with food and beverage businesses to follow.
PHOTO: JESSICA FINCHPHOTO: JESSICA FINCH
Above: A local bakery and cafe offers takeout service through a window until it is permitted to fully reopen.
Anthropologie on Queen Street West (Photo: Jessica Finch)
Above: The unique Anthropologie store, located in an old church building, is welcoming guests with enhanced cleaning protocols, hygiene, and spacing limits.
PHOTO: JESSICA FINCHPHOTO: JESSICA FINCH
In the coming days, more stores will open in downtown Toronto and when permitted, restaurants and other foodservice/drink businesses will also reopen. Some businesses will unfortunately not reopen and given the increased costs of doing business, coupled with an expected decrease in foot traffic, more businesses are expected to go under in the coming weeks and months.
Thank you for viewing our short tour of Toronto’s Bloor-Yorkville and Queen Street West areas.
I started writing this article in late March watching leaders react rapidly and in many instances, decisively in handling the outbreak in North America & Europe, a couple of months after their Chinese and Asian counterparts. As I was finishing the first draft of the article about 10 days ago, I was wondering whether the timing of this article was not too late. However, these last couple of weeks have been testing Western political leaders as they prepare to open up the economy and will test among others, business, and retail leaders as they reopen their businesses and aim to have them functioning properly and profitably once again. We seem to be in that worrying state of flux in between two phases. As Governor Cuomo said a few days ago quoting Churchill, “Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning.”
So it seems like a good time to revisit leadership as we move into the long journey to reopen and reinvent our societies, our economies and our retail.
In the political realm, recent weeks have shown the great divide in leadership with shocking displays by Donald Trump and Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil, while at the same time, being inspired by governors like Andew Cuomo in New York and Gretchen Whitmer in Michigan, and in Canada, by Provincial Premiers like John Horgan in British Columbia and Francois Legault in Quebec. Actually, the most impressive revelation is how much better countries run by female heads of states have done in handling this crisis, from Angela Merkel in Germany, to Jacinda Ardern in New Zealand, and to Tsai Ing-wen in Taiwan.
In business, especially in retail, leaders were already being seriously challenged before the coronavirus crisis hit. Retail was already going through a period of unparalleled change and transformation, putting even the most successful retailers in some form of “survival” mode. Senior leaders were becoming more agile, data savvy, but also intuitive and open minded. They were more focused than ever on their brands and the communities that they are serving to make the best choices to enhance the effectiveness of their businesses. They were adopting big bet mentalities mixed with test quickly, keep what works, and discards asap what does not. This atmosphere had created a strong tension of exciting times and sleepless nights!!
However, one might say that it was like “spring training in the minor leagues” compared to the tsunami that leaders are now confronted with. We are seeing a number of leaders emerge, not only in retail, that are showing unique skills and qualities to guide their companies, their teams, their stakeholders, and their communities as best they can in these unprecedented times. In this crisis, I have been impressed by so many including Alan Jope at Unilever, Kevin Johnson at Starbucks; in Canada by Calvin McDonald at lululemon and Heather Reisman at Indigo Books and Music; and more local Quebec entrepreneurs like Dominique Brown of Chocolats Favoris, Ricardo and his wife, Brigitte Coutu, and Dax Dasilva at Lightspeed.
In this article, I propose a leadership framework to understand how they have done this and how they prepare the huge challenges that lie ahead. It is inspired by what Alan Jope, CEO of Unilever, said during a roundtable of UN Global Compact on “New Leadership for Global Crisis” that took place early April. The fundamental premise of the framework is to master your inner game => master you outer game. It is probably not a new framework, but the attributes and the relative emphasis on each attribute are certainly different, at least in these unprecedented times and an uncertain future.
Master Your Inner Game – “Be the person you want to be”
Covid 19 forced many senior executives to lead and manage their teams, their different stakeholders, and communities remotely. Under the dual pressure of unprecedented times and personal isolation, each leader and their teams have to not only focus on their organizations, but also master her/his inner game. This will not stop as the economy reopens, as it is becoming increasing clear that we are entering a long path to recovery and a new normal, including a new and uncertain future of retail.
As this section is very personal for each individual, I have included elements of my own journey to strive to become the person that I want to be. I decided to do so because for those who have followed my journey, especially battling cancer three times over the last five to six years both in Malaysia and now in Canada, know that I have been severely challenged across these different attributes from health, mental, and even, financial standpoints which are the cornerstones of the challenges facing each of us during the Covid-19. Please take these elements of my journey as an example of how one person has chosen to develop and cope across each of these attributes. It is in no way prescriptive as it is up to each one of us to find her/his own path.
Striving Towards Mental and Physical Wellbeing
“Our bodies are our gardens to which our wills are gardeners.” – William Shakespeare
As many leaders have been working from home and some are juggling at home schooling for their kids, this crisis has forced leaders (as well as most of us) to focus on their mental and physical wellbeing. As we inch towards an uncertain new normal, it will continue to be more important than ever to carve out time to do exercise, go for long walks, do yoga, try meditation to allow you to be strong, centred, and focused in this time of crisis.
Over the last few years, my biggest challenge was finding my own ways towards physical and mental wellbeing. Battling cancer is a very individual journey — fighting an invisible enemy invading your body — similar to the coronavirus. As I had different treatment protocols for each battle, I had to find different paths (or coping mechanisms) to get back to a state of mental and physical wellbeing. This crisis is no different. On working on my mental wellbeing, writing was one of my main coping mechanisms. I started writing a journal and sharing it with others. The writing part helped me understand what I was going through and sharing it, forced to see the glass half full. I can, definitely, tell you in the most trying times, there was always positive moments to cherish. I have continued writing during COVID-19, more on how the crisis is affecting the retail sector and how we can potentially bounce back.
Other things that I have been doing for my mental well being is reading fiction and non fiction, cooking, limiting my intake of news and series, religiously watching the Montreal Canadiens hockey games, and in the past few weeks, discovering the power of meditation. And at extreme times, I have resorted to seeing a psychotherapist.
As for my physical well being, sports have been an integral part of my life since playing competitive squash as a teenager. Through these times, I have alternated between walking, jogging, biking, cross-country and downhill skiing, playing tennis, and swimming. As you can imagine, my physical state has varied dramatically over the last five to six years, from being virtually unable to walk to the end of our apartment to being able to jog 10 km and cross-country ski for two hours.
Over the last few weeks, I have to cope with one new reality – over-zooming. I end certain days unable to focus and see straight. I know that I am not alone. I am trying to space meetings out, making them shorter and taking more frequent breaks. But it still remains a challenge and I wonder if there will not be long term side effects. Only time will tell.
The key is to find your own coping mechanisms to keep you fit both mentally and physically. It takes a good understanding of yourself, taking chances, and being disciplined to do things daily that help you both physically and mentally
Agility and Openness to Change
“I learned to always take on things I’d never done before. Growth and comfort do not coexist.” ― Ginni Rometty
Fortunately, retail leaders have had to develop this skill in spades over the last few years. However, now the need is exponentially greater to go faster and take even bigger bets than before.
I am not sure that you can teach agility and openness to change. You can, on the other hand, develop it through experience in trying new things, moving to other places, changing jobs and companies, etc.
My personal journey has been full of changes. I sometimes feel like a cat who has had six to seven lives and has two to three left. I worked and lived in every continent, except for South America. I worked for the UN in Rwanda; as a management consultant in Paris; in learning and development for L’Oreal in Paris and Shanghai; as an entrepreneur in executive search and leadership development in Greater China; as CHRO for one of the fastest growing retail companies in South East Asia; and finally back home in my current position as Executive Director of the Bensadoun School of Retail Management at McGill University.
I don’t pretend that developing agility and openness to change is easy. It remains scary and challenging. However, it becomes easier with time and the more frequently you do it, while developing a great sense of fulfilment.
Building Resilience Over the Long Term
“I've missed more than 9000 shots in my career. I've lost almost 300 games. 26 times, I've been trusted to take the game winning shot and missed. I've failed over and over and over again in my life. And that is why I succeed.” ― Michael Jordan
Economists expect that this crisis will have effects lasting at least 18-24 months. I see people around me and on TV that are fed up, who want to go back to their normal pre-COVID days. Well, it doesn’t seem like this is about to happen soon, especially with potential for future waves of the pandemic and no vaccine in sight for at least 12-18 months. A baseball analogy would say that we are in the second inning of a game that might go into extra innings. It is, therefore, more of a marathon (maybe many marathons) than a sprint.
My battles with cancer and changes in lives and careers have developed my resilience and my ability to bounce back from adversity. It has also taught me a lot personally. I have become life resilient, but I know that I don’t have the necessary physical and mental resilience to become the CEO of big company or organization.
I look at business leaders that I admired in Asia, like Dirk van Den Berghe, EVP and Regional CEO Asia and Global Sourcing at Walmart, and Alexis Perakis who was President of L’Oreal Asia and now President of the Consumer Products Division L’Oreal Group. I see their level of energy, focus, and determination that they have and know that I will never have it.
Courage and Empathy
“Being brave is not being unafraid but feeling the fear and doing it anyway. When you feel fear, try using it as a signal that something really important is about to happen.” ― Gloria Steinem
“Act as though you already have COVID-19.”― Jacinda Ardern
Successful leaders right now must mix courage to make unprecedented decisions, some of them being the most emotionally challenging of their careers, with an unprecedented level of empathy.
At a personal level, many people have told me how courageous I was in battling cancer. It never resonated with me, but as I was writing this piece and in line with Gloria Steinem’s quote, I realized that I don’t feel courageous, but I have grown less scared in the face in the adversity. As for empathy, I rate myself average, but battling cancer has certainly made me more empathetic. More importantly, I discovered real empathy in four or five of the nurses that have treated me in Malaysia and in Montreal and who are my real heroes, similar to those that we cherish in these times of the pandemic.
Going back to the impressive performance of female heads of state in battling this crisis, I think that there is where they make their biggest difference. Many of female leaders seem to exhibit this unique ability to make courageous decisions with the right blend of empathy. As Uri Friedman wrote in the Atlantic on April 19 2020,
“Jacinda Ardern, the 39-year-old prime minister of New Zealand, is forging a path of her own. Her leadership style is one of empathy in a crisis that tempts people to fend for themselves. Her messages are clear, consistent, and somehow simultaneously sobering and soothing. And her approach isn’t just resonating with her people on an emotional level. It is also working remarkably well…”
Jacinda Ardern was the first to say that “Act as you have Covid 19”, the empathetic rallying cry that has resonated around the world. At the same, like her decisive actions on gun control following the Christchurch mosque shooting in March 2019, she was unafraid to do the same during the coronavirus outbreak. As the Atlantic’s article continues, “… Ardern’s government took decisive actions right away. New Zealand imposed a national lockdown much earlier in its outbreak than other countries did in theirs, and banned travelers from China in early February, before New Zealand had registered a single case of the virus. It closed its borders to all non residents in mid-March, when it had only a handful of cases.”
Beware of the Financial Consequences
One might say that in this crisis, some of us are lucky enough to not experience head on the financial consequences that others have to face coming from for example, job loss from day one and significant healthcare bills.
I can, however, somewhat relate through my cancer battle in Malaysia in late 2016 and its aftermath in 2017. I found out on December 22nd 2016, days before the end of my treatment, that I was not being covered by my insurance under pre-existing conditions terms. My employer at the time showed empathy and helped me out.
And then my contract with that employer ended at the end of January 2017. I was clearly not physically fit to start working again for six to nine months and we were based in Malaysia with no unemployment coverage. By late April, the clock was ticking. Fortunately, with discipline, an extensive network, and luck — some would say luck by design — I got the offer to move to back home to Montreal in my current position.
To Master Your Outer Game –“Be the leader you need to be”
“Be the change you want to see in the world.” — Gandhi
As you continually work to master your inner game, you must focus in parallel on mastering your external game to effectively manage the organization(s) and team(s) that you are leading. It is more important than ever to understand and become the leader that you need to be to guide your organization as effectively as possible in these turbulent times and the uncertain future that lies ahead.
Communicate Effectively
“It’s important to make sure that we’re talking with each other in a way that heals, not in a way that wounds.”― Barack Obama
It all starts with effective communication. Here, we can look at our politicians for what to do vs what not to do. I would contrast Trump’s erratic, self-congratulatory, and aggressive communication style which I believe, is totally counter-productive and could be devastating for the long term future of the United States. In the last few days, it has become even scarier as the President seems to be abdicating the health consequences of the pandemic to focus on reopening the economy at all costs. It seems to be seconded by a much more calm, cynical, and amoral Senator McConnell.
By contrast, we can look to Prime Ministers in Canada, led by Legault or in the US with most governors, led by Governor Cuomo. Despite being at the centre of their countries’ hotspot, Legault and Cuomo are showing calm, empathy, and incredible honesty and transparency. They keep on message, showing a vision for the future, whilst not being afraid to deliver difficult news.
As the economy and retail reopens, I turn my attention as an example to David Bensadoun, CEO of the Aldo Group, following the news on May 7th that they were placing the company under the protection of creditors. Despite the possible subjectivity of my position, I was impressed by the interview that he gave in the Montreal newspaper La Presse on May 9th. It seemed to perfectly usher the next era of leadership as we move into the slow road back to a new normal. Mr Bensadoun showed humility, empathy and courage by admitting that mistakes were made pre-pandemic and that the actions as a result of his most recent decision will have a strong impact on the employees and their families as you close stores and reduce HQ staff. At the same time, he paved the way forward with a vision for the long term that will redefine the Aldo Group with the aim to make it more effective, more agile, and ready to take advantage of the full potential of an omnichannel presence to best answer the needs of your customers in the new normal. It will hopefully be a model on how to successfully enter the new future of retail.
Act Fast with a Vision to the Future
“Once in your life, try something. Work hard at something. Try to change. Nothing bad can happen. If you don’t do it, nothing’s possible.” — Jack Ma
It is a moment that requires leaders to take bold actions; big bets that are largely untested at unprecedented speed. At the same time, it is important to try: if it works, continue; if it does not, readjust or discard and try something else.
Walmart has been a great example how to execute in pre-COVID times, that is proving very effective during the pandemic. They have:
Focused on their core strengths which are their superstores and their operational effectiveness, as they develop their omnichannel capabilities,
Developed their digital and e-commerce footprint by taking big bets through for instance their significant acquisitions in the US (eg. Jet.com, Bonobos) and in India with Flipkart,
Stopped their historical “do it alone” approach and collaborated when necessary as they have shown in China with significant partnerships with Tencent and JD.Com and in Japan with Rakuten
And adapted to the local culture and markets.
This has allowed Walmart to deliver not only every day low prices, but also develop every day convenience. It has made Walmart competitive against Amazon in North America and competitive in other markets, like China and India.
At a more local level, we at the Bensadoun School of Retail Management are in the midst of launching a Retail Innovation Challenge to get teams of university students across Canada to assist business leaders rethink and rebuild their businesses as the economy opens up and we enter the post Covid 19 phase. Starting with the food sector, I have the incredible chance to hear the stories of local retail leaders, like Alex at Café Barista, Sean at Can Am, and Chrissy at Dispatch Coffee. Both Alex and Sean’s business were almost exclusively BtoB focused. As the pandemic started, they lost 90% of their business within days. They pivoted with fully online BtoC in less than a week. For instance, Can Am which principally sold fruits and vegetables to restaurants, hotels, cruise ships, and hospitals pivoted to become an online grocery retailer — with a full line up of products including meat & poultry, dairy, household and hygiene products — in just seven days. It has now become a fully successful business in its own right. The big challenge for these retail leaders is as things open up is to make that these new initiatives keep going and grow into long term profitable business units, as well as working on bringing & upgrading their pre-COVID businesses.
What is clear is that these leaders are all learning fast how to build and lead omnichannel businesses. And as McKinsey put it in a recent study, these leaders are going to have to shift their mindset more and more to “rather than asking what benefits online can offer offline channels, players should ask how their brick-and-mortar presence can support e-commerce sales.”
Engage and Collaborate
“I can do things you cannot, you can do things I cannot; together we can do great things.” – Mother Teresa
This crisis is forcing a collaboration broader than seen before, across disciplines, departments, and geographies. It also means engaging our stakeholders and our communities.
On the business side, especially on moving more omnichannel, better response to shifting customer demands and behaviours, as well as different delivery models, one cannot do it alone. So leaders need to get their teams and companies to collaborate to get these ends as quickly and effectively as possible. It can come from bringing new talent in-house, to partnering with retail tech companies like Shopify or Lightspeed, with AI specialists and local specialists for geographic expansion. Walmart showed this well by partnering with Tencent and JD.com to succeed in China.
At the same time, to be successful in these unprecedented times, it will mean less focus on shareholders, but more on all other stakeholders of the company:
Like Unilever assisting their SMEs suppliers to survive through loan program;
Taking care as much as possible of employees financially and emotionally;
Working with the entire supply chain partners to recalibrate effectively and most probably source more locally;
And play a leadership role in the community that these companies are a part of.
And Lastly, Leaders Need to Show Purpose and do Good
“Creating a strong business and building a better world are not conflicting goals — they are both essential ingredients for long-term success.” — Bill Ford
Leaders need to be socially responsible — sometimes with positive impact to improve the short term wellbeing of their business and others, to show that we care for their communities. I believe that this will have a much more lasting impact than under normal circumstances. People and therefore, customers, will remember those leaders and organizations that went beyond their scope to help the communities that they are a part of.
Many retailers and brands, like other companies, have done this by producing sanitizers, PPE equipment, and more recently, fashionable masks.
Branding with authenticity and purpose has become critical. One interesting example of what to do and not to do was the sharp contrast in the initial responses by Adidas and Nike. Nike was quick to close stores to guarantee the safety of their employees and customers. Adidas North America initially took a different approach stating that they would keep their stores open to be able to pay bills and employees, in essence putting business ahead of safety of their employees and customers. The backlash was immediate forcing Adidas to quickly do the same thing as Nike and other competitors. But the reputational damage was done. Let’s see how it will play out in the long term.
A couple of noteworthy initiatives from China were:
On Women’s day on March 8th, Chando, a local Chinese beauty brand, which launched a short digital movie on the Modern Mulan woman focused on COVID-19 heroes - medical professionals, community helpers, policewomen, volunteers. Jing Daily reported that it already had 7.4 million views by March 10th
According to Deborah Weinswig from Coresight Research and an avid China watcher, brands, whose sales associates used WeChat just to check up on how each of their customers was doing during the crisis, seem to have rebounded faster than others.
One of the most inspiring stories is the Master Chef Jose Andres who created his Charity, World Central Kitchen (WCK), at the time of Hurricane Maria in Puerto Rico. During the COVID-19 pandemic, WCK has delivered millions of meals to the homeless, the hungry and relief workers across the US and kept hundreds of restaurants in business.
Examples of Overall Leadership in These Times
Over the last couple of months, I have had the chance to hear and speak to a number of retail leaders about what they are doing and the skills needed to navigate through this crisis.
Two interviews have stuck out in particular that date back to early April, but show clearly how these different leadership skills are being applied to their companies:
Alan Jope, CEO of Unilever, and
Calvin McDonald, CEO of Lululemon.
Below are the main points of what they said about their respective company and the leadership actions that they are putting in place to survive during this unprecedented crisis.
Conclusion
As I come to the end of this article, I want to shift to a more philosophical plane by focusing on a business leader, Lightspeed founder and CEO Dax Dasilva and his book “The Age of Union” that he published in 2019. It seems prophetic in its timing as I believe that it exemplifies the leadership qualities in this article, while bringing forward many of the core issues that our societies are facing and that have come to the surface during the pandemic, namely aggressive capitalism, growing inequalities, diminished tolerance for cultural and racial differences, and environmental sustainability.
Through his unique personal story, his professional journey building up Lightspeed into a more than $1 billion IPO in 2019, and his community engagement as Founder of Never Apart, Dax has learnt to master both his inner and outer games and over the years, has first become the person that he wants to be and then, the leader that he should be. He highlights four key pillars to achieve this – Leadership, culture, spirituality, and nature. Here are a couple of quotes from his book,
“Every crisis is an opportunity. In the future, we must be better prepared to use critical voices to build new bridges in the face of division.”
“It takes courage to open one’s heart, but when we do, we open a space that can be filled with the strength to be leaders in our own destined capacity, to connect with one another through different expressions of culture, to celebrate the teachings of our diversity, to protect nature as we move into an era of guardianship, and to find the spiritual in the everyday. This is to know the joy of purpose.”
I hope that as it did for me writing it, this article will give you some food for thought in these unprecedented and transformative times to re-evaluate your path to becoming the person you want to be in order to be the leader you should be. There has probably never been a better moment collectively to do so individually.
Charles De Brabant joined McGill University in August 2017 to co-lead the creation of the Bensadoun School of Retail Management (BSRM). He has over 20 years experience in retail in Europe and most recently in China and South East Asia. Born and raised in Montreal, Charles holds a B. Com. from McGill, an M. Litt. in History from Oxford University and an MBA from Stanford Business School. Charles’ focus at BSRM will be on collaboration with local and international industry partners and the administration of the school.
Despite a negative inflation rate, recent StatsCan numbers are telling us that we are in for a wild ride at the grocery store. The numbers are also telling. While the general inflation rate sits at -0.2%, the food inflation rate is at 3.4%. In December 2019, Canada’s Food Price Report forecasted a food inflation rate of about 4% for 2020, and this is very much where this year is heading toward. But COVID-19’s economic shock will likely be long lasting and will affect grocery shoppers’ pocketbooks for quite some time.
In Canada, inflation has not been an issue for the past decade. It came close to 4% in 2011 and that is about it. Not much excitement there. We have seen some decoupling between the general and food inflation before, but nothing like this. Food prices are increasing almost 4 times more rapidly than the price of any other durable goods in the economy. Now, the Consumer Price Index is not reflecting the actual costs households are facing due to lockdowns. We are all consuming differently. Still, the difference between the two is huge.
In March, the initial shockwave was real rather than financial, and it impacted industry and the rest of the economy directly. Food service, a sector which generates more than $90b of revenues a year in Canada, essentially disappeared almost over night. Lockdowns forced the entire food industry to adjust quickly to a change in our economy. That shock was swiftly transmitted to the demand side, as households were hit by layoffs and lower incomes. Financial markets were then hit hard by the uncertainty, not knowing when the pandemic and lockdowns would end. Unlike other recessions where a slowdown is triggered by a shift in demand which leads to subsequent market pressures to cut supply. That is what our textbooks tell us. COVID-19 is essentially a one-two punch to the system; whereas, both sides of the economy, supply and demand, were hit hard. There is no textbook for that. The recovery’s sequence is hard to predict, with more than 8 million Canadians who have applied for the Canadian Emergency Recovery Benefit (CERB).
In March, the initial shockwave was real rather than financial, and it impacted industry and the rest of the economy directly. Food service, a sector which generates more than $90b of revenues a year in Canada, essentially disappeared almost over night. Lockdowns forced the entire food industry to adjust quickly to a change in our economy. That shock was swiftly transmitted to the demand side, as households were hit by layoffs and lower incomes. Financial markets were then hit hard by the uncertainty, not knowing when the pandemic and lockdowns would end. Unlike other recessions where a slowdown is triggered by a shift in demand which leads to subsequent market pressures to cut supply. That is what our textbooks tell us. COVID-19 is essentially a one-two punch to the system; whereas, both sides of the economy, supply and demand, were hit hard. There is no textbook for that. The recovery’s sequence is hard to predict, with more than 8 million Canadians who have applied for the Canadian Emergency Recovery Benefit (CERB).
Once confinement measures loosen up and Canadians can go out, shop, visit restaurants, and do other normal activities to support the economy, the question is whether Canadians will show up. If lingering fears of contagion and of a possible second wave and uncertainty about household incomes prevail, the likely outcome is deflation or at least a price drop for most things. ‘Deflation’ is likely the scariest word for any economist. It is like cancer to an economy. Hard to end deflation and grow an economy when consumers know that what they want to buy today will be cheaper tomorrow. That could impact clothing, cars, houses, you name it. Taxes will go up, putting more pressure on consumer demand. So economically, let us hope Canadians do their part when allowed.
Food though will likely buck the deflationary trend for an extended period. Unlike what many analysts have often said, the food sector is not recession-proof as consumers will either trade down or will not go out as much. But with COVID-19, nobody has been going out to restaurants, and consumers have not really celebrated their lockdowns over caviar either. Most of us went back to basics, cooking, baking, and making bread. Consumer demand has now a COVID-19 benchmark. Deflation or not, we need to eat.
Yet on the supply side, COVID-19 is making everything more expensive to produce, process, distribute, retail, everything. New cleaning protocols, higher salaries, building infrastructure for e-commerce to accommodate consumers who no longer want to physically grocery shop, all will cost more. Plant shutdowns and food safety issues are the last things the food industry needs. With online shopping being more popular, delivery costs will also need to be covered by consumers, whether we like it or not. Food has always been a high-volume, low-margin business and that is not going to change. For industry, covering the cost to produce and distribute food, and asking consumers to pay more will not change either. COVID-19 is impacting the entire planet, so we cannot import our way out of this scenario either.
As a result, we could see the average Canadian family devote a much greater percentage of their budget on food. Pre-COVID, roughly 9% of our budget was devoted to food. It is one of the lowest percentages in the world. That could rise to 11% or even 12% by 2022. In fact, given lockdowns, that percentage is likely much higher right now. In comparison, Americans are at 6% or 7%, whereas, Europeans will spend about 15%. Their percentage will likely change as well. In 1970, Canadian households were spending 21% of their budgets on food. So, in a sense, we are going back in time.
Simply put, current food economics are overwhelmingly forcing us to revisit the social contract we have with food, perhaps for the betterment of society. Valuing food has only positive socio-economic implications. Current food economics are making us more attuned to what is happening around us foodwise. It is also making us more food literate. Such a shift in food prices are relative to what else is going on in the economy and will leave many behind as food insecurity levels in many parts of our country will soar. Single parents, children, and underprivileged demographic groups, will require more attention as we embark into a new food era.
However, there is a silver lining. Since March, even if food prices have been rising, most households are spending less on food. Each household in Canada is saving approximately $5 a day by just cooking at home and avoiding restaurants. That is roughly more than $345 since the beginning of the beginning of the pandemic, which far exceeds price hikes shoppers needed to absorb during the same period.
Any way we look at it, COVID-19 will have a long-lasting impact on our relationship with food, and no one is immune to that.
Canadian retailers across the country are actively preparing to safely welcome back their consumers as provinces begin a gradual approach to reopening their economies. The changes brought about by COVID-19 on the retail world will not be short-lived as the dangers relating to the virus will remain until a vaccine is created and proved effective. This is forcing retailers to think of a way to incorporate PPE products in a manner that is aligned to their brand and that is feasible to establish within their stores. In these moments it is important for retailers to find a way to remain relevant and re-examine how to tackle the changes they are faced with. We all have a choice regarding the manner in which we approach this new reality. I feel this is an opportunity for retailers to strengthen their brands as they incorporate new ”stay-safe” PPE products to maintain the health and safety of their customers/clients as well as their employees. Astley Gilbert aims to inspire and educate retailers about the next steps relating to PPE offerings in our new reality.
When COVID-19 began emerging, Astley Gilbert had to redefine how to remain relevant in a fragile market while serving its community and clients. For this reason, Astley Gilbert felt a responsibility to provide high quality customizable PPE products that would respond to the design requirements of various retailers. We re-engineered our capabilities, educated ourselves on Health Canada PPE requirements, and procured a Medical Device Establishment License to ensure our clients felt confident we were providing PPE products that meet the highest quality standards. It was important that our PPE products be created with a design element in mind in order to make them feel inclusive within a retailer’s store setting. We were looking beyond the product simply providing safety and wanted to help our retail clients have professional looking pieces that blend in to their existing space.
Health Canada’s PPE recommendations include sanitizing stations in all high traffic areas, physical barriers, floor markings, and masks/face shields.
PHOTO: ASTLEY GILBERT
Merchants need to consider their space and ensure PPE products are placed correctly and that they work effectively. For this reason we recommend a proper walk-through or site plans be provided when a retail space is looking to identify the best strategy regarding PPE layout. Holt Renfrew shares: “Health and Safety needs to be top priority and we all have a responsibility to protect ourselves, our colleagues, and our customers. Retailers need to ensure communications and protocols are carefully implemented and staff are trained on preventative measures.” Astley Gilbert worked closely with Holt Renfrew to ensure they would be ready to welcome back its clients in the safest manner possible.
Well thought-out preparedness plans play an important role in how retailers will be viewed by their clientele. Numerous Canadians have been mentally affected by the fear of contracting COVID-19. Walking into a store is no longer a purely enjoyable activity. It now represents a form of undeniable risk. In taking Health Canada’s recommendations seriously, businesses are sending a message to their clients – a clear statement that client/employee safety matters to their firm and your wellbeing will not be jeopardized within their establishment. “Hand sanitization stations will be readily available throughout the stores and entry points. Disposable masks and gloves will be provided for team members to wear in-store and made available for customers who want them. We will open with touchless beauty services and contactless payment methods (i.e. no cash transactions) until further notice.” Holt Renfrew If this situation is not carefully considered by retailers, it could be very costly as customers who feel unsafe within a store will not likely purchase items it sells. Careful consideration and proper use of PPE products gives retailers a chance to make clients feel safe, respected and cared for, which builds customer confidence.
ASTLEY GILBERT FACE SHIELDS
ASTLEY GILBERT CAN SUPPLY SIGNS AND DECALS FOR YOUR ELEVATORS. THESE PIECES ARE CUSTOMIZABLE.
The customization of PPE products will be important in some spaces to ensure the proper fit and can also provide an enhanced design consideration. Mette Johansen Keating, Founder and creative director from mettespace shares: “Put yourself in your customer’s shoes. Think about them and what they are experiencing at every step of the experience which now needs to be controlled but ‘feel like shopping’. Signage needs to be effective but should be toned in a friendly, responsible but even playful manner. i.e. “stop signs and ‘do not enter’ signs etc”… should not be used. Go with something softer and perhaps again related or integrated creatively with the brand.” Rather than essential PPE products being a hindrance to brand messaging they can become complementary if well thought out. Eric McEwan, General Manager of the McEwan Group recently had AG custom barriers installed: “Our barriers may be in place for the foreseeable future so I wanted to create something that complemented our current design.” Retailers want to ensure their clients still enjoy a pleasant and effective shopping experience whilst remaining vigilant to ensure they are being responsible and abiding by the Canadian governments guidelines.
COVID-19 is a reality we must all live with and has created a time where caring for clients as retailers has been redefined. Rather than look at PPE products as temporary solutions, it is worth taking the time to ensure that (a range of) PPE products are effectively integrated into your space and create an inviting and safe atmosphere for your clients and employees. Retailers have always been able to pivot and adapt to new realities and with the right technical tools and assistance, it can be done easily to maintain your business going forward.
Anouk Malavoy
Anouk Malavoy is the VP, Business development at Astley Gilbert limited by day, spin coach at dawn, charity committee member and freelance writer by night. She is passionate about all she takes on and constantly seeks our new stimulating challenges in order to live her best life. Email: anoukm@astleygilbert.com